8 月 14 日，Polymarket 上美联储 9 月降息 50 基点概率升至 8%，降息 25 基点概率降至 79%，不降息概率为 12%。
另据 CME「美联储观察」数据显示，美联储 9 月降息 50 基点概率 4.2%，降息 25 基点概率为 95.8%。

<div><p>8 月 14 日，Polymarket 上美联储 9 月降息 50 基点概率升至 8%，降息 25 基点概率降至 79%，不降息概率为 12%。</p><p>另据 CME「美联储观察」数据显示，美联储 9 月降息 50 基点概率 4.2%，降息 25 基点概率为 95.8%。</p></div>

Polymarket上美联储9月降息50基点概率升至8%

On August 14, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September rose to 8% on Polymarket, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut dropped to 79%, and the probability of no rate cut is 12%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 4.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 95.8%.

<div><p>On August 14, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September rose to 8% on Polymarket, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut dropped to 79%, and the probability of no rate cut is 12%.</p><p>According to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 4.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 95.8%.</p></div>

Polymarkets predicts the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September has risen to 8%.

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