Prediction market platform Polymarket announced today a partnership with social investing platform Stocktwits to embed real-time financial report forecasts within the community. This not only provides investors with an additional channel for accessing new information, but also has the potential to transform the way retail investors view corporate performance. According to funding news released a few days ago, Polymarket's valuation has soared to $9 billion.
Polymarket and Stocktwits launch real-time corporate earnings prediction market
Polymarket has announced that it will become the official prediction market partner of Stocktwits, launching a real-time forecasting feature focused on earnings reports. This means that while browsing a Stocktwits discussion thread, users will be able to see market predictions for whether a company's earnings report will beat expectations. This page will also appear on Polymarket.
For investors, this not only provides an instant thermometer of crowd wisdom, but also makes highly volatile events like financial reports easier to quantify and track. In the future, the two parties plan to expand their collaboration to include more corporate events, from product launches to mergers and acquisitions, creating a comprehensive investment information network that combines "community" with "predictive data."
Deconstructing Investment Risk: Polymarket Offers "Pure Betting"
@shampoo_capital explains that financial reporting in traditional stock markets often carries both "result" and "market reaction" risks. A company might report strong earnings but see its stock price fall due to overly high market expectations, or it might report poor performance but see its stock price rise because the market has already priced it in. Signals are often distorted:
Polymarket’s design separates these two layers of risk, allowing investors to simply bet on “whether the company meets the standards.”
This purely predictive approach provides more accurate tools, allowing users to directly express their judgment on financial report results without having to bear the weight of market noise.
CFTC Greenlights Polymarket's Return to US Markets
The prerequisite for this collaboration is Polymarket's ability to regain legal status under US regulations. This month, the US CFTC issued a letter granting Polymarket's acquired QCX derivatives exchange the right to operate under regulatory conditions, mitigating regulatory risks for its business expansion.
Valuations Rises: A $9 Billion Market Rising Star
As Polymarket successfully returns to the US market, it is also reported that Polymarket is negotiating a new round of financing. " The Information " revealed that the company's valuation has soared from US$1 billion three months ago to US$9 billion, a nine-fold increase.
The investors behind the venture are a star-studded group, including 1789 Capital, owned byDonald Trump Jr. , the eldest son of Trump, and Founders Fund , owned by Silicon Valley investment giant Peter Thiel .
Meanwhile, competitor Kalshi’s valuation has risen from $2 billion to $5 billion, showing that investors are actively betting on regulated prediction markets.
With regulatory endorsements, community integration, and capital support, the prediction market seems to have gradually evolved from a simple gaming platform to a mass information ecosystem where "everything can be bet on." It is expected to become the next mainstream investment field or a new indicator of social public opinion.
The article Polymarket and Stocktwits launch real-time financial report prediction market, with valuation soaring to US$9 billion first appeared in ABMedia ABMedia .
