Bitcoin Price Watch: Price Teeters at $109K—Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?

Bitcoin is trading at $109,449 with a market capitalization of $2.18 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume clocking in at $20.54 billion. The intraday range? A tightrope walk between $109,276 and $109,761—just enough motion to keep traders twitchy but not thrilled.

Bitcoin

So, what’s the daily bitcoin chart whispering today? A whole lot of “meh” with a side of “maybe.” The daily trend is firmly bearish, following a climb to $117,968 and a recent slip to $107,270. The current price zone between $109,000 and $110,000 screams consolidation, and while the sell-side volume spike suggests bears had their fun, that party may be winding down.

Key levels? Support sits cozy at $107,000 to $107,500, while resistance holds tight between $114,000 and $117,000. A break above $111,000 could cue the bulls for a short-term rally, but until then, this chart looks like it’s trying to remember how to be exciting.

BTC/USD via Bitstamp on Sept. 28, 2025, via the daily chart.

Zoom into the 4-hour bitcoin chart and the picture doesn’t get rosier—unless you’re shorting. The downtrend is clearer than your ex’s motives, with a descending channel forming post-breakdown from the $114,000 region. Price action is boxed in between $108,600 and $109,800, forming a bearish flag. Yet, declining bearish volume hints at a market either exhausted or just taking a cigarette break. Should bitcoin break below $108,600 with conviction, the $107,000 target becomes plausible again.

BTC/USD via Bitstamp on Sept. 28, 2025, via the 4-hour chart.

Drop to the 1-hour chart, and bitcoin is grinding sideways like it’s stuck in traffic. It’s ranged tightly between $109,100 and $109,800, with a failed bullish micro-attempt at $109,830. The low volume here suggests either stealthy accumulation or bored whales. Scalpers might find some joy with longs near $109,100 and stops around $108,900, or shorts if resistance at $109,800 holds—though you’d better be fast and nimble in this chop.

BTC/USD via Bitstamp on Sept. 28, 2025, via the 1-hour chart.

Oscillators are showing a cocktail of confusion. The relative strength index (RSI) at 38 and the Stochastic oscillator at 10 both register neutral. The commodity channel index (CCI) dives deep into bullish territory at -130, while momentum shows a sharp bearish angle at -7,666. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level sits at -926, another vote for selling pressure. The Awesome oscillator is mildly negative at -2,046, yet also neutral. The average directional index (ADX) is barely awake at 20—hardly a roaring trend.

And let’s not forget the sea of red in the moving averages (MAs). From the 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) at 111,617 to the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) at 113,600, nearly every short- to mid-term indicator screams “bearish.” Only the 200-period EMA and SMA—at 106,256 and 104,439, respectively—give us a “bullish” roar reminding us that zooming out might calm the nerves. In other words, bulls have some climbing to do before calling it a comeback.

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin can claw above $111,000 with volume and break the upper bounds of its current consolidation, the setup favors a short-term relief rally. With sellers showing signs of fatigue and long-term moving averages still flashing green, the bulls aren’t out of the fight just yet.

Bear Verdict:

With every key short- and mid-term moving average pointing south and momentum indicators leaning bearish, the path of least resistance remains down. If the $108,600 support crumbles, a retest of the $107,000 level—or lower—looks not just possible, but probable.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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