CZ unveils new prediction platform on BNB Chain: predict.fun. Photo: project website
predict.fun solves the prediction market bottleneck
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao has just introduced a new playground on BNB Chain called predict.fun , a prediction market platform built by a former Binance employee. The project aims to overcome the biggest bottleneck of this segment: user Capital is "stuck" for weeks or months without generating profits.
Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain .
— CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) December 3, 2025
When you make a prediction, your funds don't sit idle, they generate yield.
Disclaimer:
Founder is ex-Binance (a few years ago).
Incubated/invested by YZiLabs.
This tweet is not endorsed. 🙏 https://t.co/E0fxxKc3eE
predict.fun is also backed by YZi Labs (formerly known as Binance Labs), CZ's investment fund currently manages $10 billion in assets with a portfolio of more than 300 projects worldwide. In October, the fund announced a $1 billion fund dedicated to the BNB system, supporting more than 65 projects focusing on DeFi, RWA, AI and payments.
Also two days ago, Trust Wallet - a wallet app with over 220 million users - has also added a prediction market trading feature, opening up a huge distribution channel for prediction market platforms running on BNB Chain, and of course predict.fun is no exception.
Introducing Predictions in Trust Wallet 🔮
— Trust Wallet (@TrustWallet) December 2, 2025
The first major wallet with native predictions.
Trade sports, crypto, politics & more. All in one place & self- Custodial.
Powered by @MyriadMarkets (live). @Polymarket & @Kalshi coming soon.
Update now: https://t.co/VHh3snlsip pic.twitter.com/LCOu9BbjTH
Unlike the traditional model, predict.fun allows users to both bet and earn interest on the amount that is locked until the event closes.
Polymarket and Kalshi - the two biggest prediction market names today - have also recently added incentives such as Staking rewards, Treasury incentives, or reward point systems to maintain interactions and offset opportunity costs.
Traction from the BNB Chain ecosystem
As of press time, predict.fun has just listed two markets with a total volume of approximately $96 million. The platform has attracted more than 12,500 users with nearly 280,000 bets.
However, the gap with the big rivals is still very large:
Polymarket has surpassed $3 billion in total volume;
Kalshi reached about 587 million USD Volume;
Limitless about 10.9 million USD Volume.
In the current competitive landscape, predict.fun's advantage lies in the BNB Chain ecosystem itself, where the number of active wallets has nearly doubled over the past year and accounts for 25% of the total market user share, according to Token Terminal.
But… the big problem remains
Despite its overwhelming user base, BNB Chain still faces on-chain significantly lower on-chain stablecoin scalability limitation compared to Ethereum and other major ecosystems.
This means that the amount of Capital available to flow into prediction markets is limited, especially for large-scale markets that require deep liquidation .
At the moment, predict.fun's most realistic challenge is not to dethrone Polymarket or Kalshi, but to catch up with mid-range platforms like Limitless (the largest on layer-2 Base) and create a steady growth momentum.
Backing from BNB Chain, YZi Labs, and Trust Wallet provides a strong user base, but does not guarantee success in a market where liquidation advantages are cumulative and difficult to reverse.
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