Bitcoin Price Watch: Technicals Signal Caution, Not Capitulation

Bitcoin currently sits at $89,618, with a market capitalization of $1.78 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $45.76 billion. Over the past day, its price has oscillated within a narrow band from $88,420 to $91,290—suggesting hesitation among both bulls and bears. This isn’t a stampede; it’s more of a tense chess match at the $90K psychological frontier.

Bitcoin Chart Outlook

The hourly chart gives us a polite shrug. Bitcoin recently attempted to reclaim momentum after being rejected at $92,600, only to stumble back to $88,100. Since then, the price has meandered sideways between $89,200 and $89,900, with all the enthusiasm of a sleepy Sunday afternoon.

Volume is notably light, signaling indecision or possibly apathy. If price manages to break above $90,000 with volume, then a move toward $91,000 to $91,500 becomes more plausible. But if it slips below $88,000 with conviction, it could mean we’re in for another slide.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 6, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart, a rounded top has formed—never a good hairstyle, and rarely a good sign in price action. After rebounding from $83,800 to $94,000, bitcoin began a soft decline back to the $88,000 to $90,000 zone. While that sounds calm, the structure whispers “fatigue.” A break above $91,500 with accompanying volume would mark a shift toward optimism. But another rejection near $93,000 or a failure to hold above $88,500 could open the gates to revisit $85,000—or worse, $80,537, where capitulation was previously observed.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 6, 2025.

The daily chart doesn’t sugarcoat it: Bitcoin is still healing from a sharp downtrend that dropped it from around $111,000 to a low of $80,537. A modest relief rally ensued, but the latest price action around $90,000 reflects a consolidation phase, not a triumphant return. Rejection at $95,000, where the last upward push fizzled, has kept traders cautious. Until bitcoin closes above that level with strong volume, the trend remains technically unbroken. This is a market waiting for proof—not promises.

BTC/USD daily chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 6, 2025.

Oscillators are offering the emotional support of a lukewarm cup of coffee. The relative strength index (RSI) clocks in at 43, indicating neutral momentum. The Stochastic oscillator reads 65, also neutral. The commodity channel index (CCI) sits at a limp 0. Meanwhile, the average directional index (ADX) shows a value of 35—strong enough to suggest a trend exists, but without revealing who’s driving. The Awesome oscillator at -3,658 and the momentum indicator at -848 hint at fading strength. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is the lone optimist, registering a -2,422 level with a bullish signal.

Moving averages, on the other hand, have taken a decidedly skeptical stance. Every single exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) from 10-period to 200-period—with the lone exception of the 20-day SMA—registers a bearish alignment. Notably, the 200-period SMA stands far above at $109,295, pointing to how far bitcoin has drifted below its long-term trajectory. The 10-day EMA and SMA hover just above $90,000, suggesting short-term resistance isn’t letting go without a fight.

So where does that leave us? Statistically, the probability of a bullish reversal from this structure, at least today, is about 35%—an underdog, but not without hope. Bears still hold the higher ground, with a 65% chance of forcing a retest of the recent lows if bitcoin fails to hold above key support at $88,000. Should the asset break $95,000 with strength, odds flip quickly in favor of a trend change. Until then, every candle tells the same story: hesitation, not conviction.

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin holds the $88,000–$90,000 support band and breaks decisively above $91,500—followed by a volume-backed push past $95,000—it could signal the early stages of a trend reversal. Confirmation above $100,000 would cement a new bullish phase. Until then, the bulls are tiptoeing, not charging.

Bear Verdict:

Failure to defend the $88,000 level—especially on strong volume—opens the door to retests of $85,000 and potentially the previous low at $80,537. A break below that would solidify the continuation of the broader downtrend, with downside targets potentially extending toward $78,000 or even $74,000. The burden of proof remains squarely on the bulls.

FAQ 🐻🐂

  • What is bitcoin’s current price?As of December 6, 2025, bitcoin is priced at $89,618.
  • Is bitcoin in a bullish or bearish trend? Bitcoin remains in a downtrend, with slight bullish signals emerging.
  • What are the key support and resistance levels for bitcoin now?Support sits around $88,000; resistance holds near $95,000.
  • How likely is a bitcoin trend reversal soon?Current technicals suggest a 35% probability of a bullish reversal.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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