一些造谣者时候会辩解【我是开玩笑的】
但只要概率不严格为0的事情，就有人相信
比如你AI合成一张CZ和王短鸟舌吻图片，大家都知道是假的所以都认为是玩笑，笑一笑就过去了
或者AI合成别人家猫扫地的视频，我拿去质问我家猫他为什么不扫地，猫也不会觉得被PUA

流量密码：造一个谣，指向性明显是xxx，但又不说是xxx
因为明显指向，所以起到了造谣的效果，但又不说是xxx，所以没法辟谣，甚至辟谣了也可以说，是不是xxx（继续指向yyy），这时候出来辟谣的反而说不清楚了
无法选中的目标

0xLoki

Twitter

Some rumor-mongers will sometimes argue, "I was just joking."

But as long as the probability isn't strictly zero, people will believe it.

For example, if you use AI to create a picture of CZ and Wang Duan Niao kissing, everyone knows it's fake, so they all think it's a joke and laugh it off.

Or, if you use AI to create a video of someone else's cat sweeping the floor, and I use it to question my cat about why it isn't sweeping, the cat won't feel like it's being manipulated.

In the crypto world, what truly determines victory is never code, but the interplay between liquidity, power, and regulation. The rise and fall of BUSD is not merely a tragic tale of a stablecoin, but a financial war waged by exchanges attempting to "unify the world."

When BUSD was thrust onto the historical stage, it carried not only a compliance narrative, but also Binance's ambition to reshape the stablecoin order through coercive measures—by manipulating exchange rates and merging trading pairs, directly swallowing competitors' liquidity into its own ledger.

The "automatic conversion" of 2022 was a textbook example of a blitzkrieg; and 2023...

The Rise and Fall of Binance's Dominance: From BUSD's "Unification" to $U's "Conquering the World"—The Stablecoin Wars

Source: Galaxy Research; Translation: Jinse Finance xz
Bitcoin's closing price in 2025 is expected to be roughly the same as the level at the beginning of the year.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a genuine bullish wave in the first ten months of this year. Regulatory reforms continued to advance, ETFs continued to attract funds, and on-chain activity became increasingly active. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080 on October 6th.
However, the market failed to deliver the expected breakthrough after the initial frenzy; instead, it experienced rotation, repricing, and rebalancing. This was driven by factors such as unmet macroeconomic expectations, a shift in investment narratives, leveraged margin calls, and massive...

Galaxy: 26 Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2026

This article is from Kyle Crypto Hunt.
Compiled by Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina); Translated by Azuma (@azuma_eth)
Editor's Note: Arthur Hayes, the legendary market predictor, co-founder of BitMEX, is at it again, offering his predictions. In today's episode of the Kyle Crypto Hunt podcast, Hayes discusses macroeconomic liquidity changes, market trends, his personal positions, and trading strategies...