Prediction markets on BNB Chain are growing rapidly, with Opinion, predict.fun, and Probable emerging as leading platforms backed by YZi Labs, each differentiated by trading scale, product design, and incentive mechanisms.
Opinion dominates in volume with a mature points system, predict.fun attracts users through its yield-generating prediction funds, and Probable enters the market with a zero-fee, fully on-chain model supported by PancakeSwap.
Together, these platforms highlight diverse innovation paths in prediction markets, spanning incentives, capital efficiency, and user experience within the BNB Chain ecosystem.
YZi Labs–backed prediction markets on BNB Chain demonstrate how scale, product innovation, and incentive design are accelerating the sector’s growth and maturation.
Prediction markets have become a highly discussed topic within the community recently. Beyond Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction markets in the BNB Chain ecosystem have also been rapidly developing. According to Dune data, based on the trading volumes of the three major prediction platforms in the BNB Chain ecosystem yesterday, Opinion is far ahead of the other two, with a market share of 75% and a daily trading volume of USD 125 million. Next is Probable, backed by the PancakeSwap team, with a market share of 14.5% and a daily trading volume of USD 24 million. The third is predict.fun, founded by dingaling, with a market share of 10.5% and a daily trading volume of USD 17 million.
Market Share of BNB Chain Prediction Markets (December 22)
Trading Volume of BNB Chain Prediction Markets (December 22)
Below, Odaily Planet Daily introduces three prediction market platforms in the BNB Chain ecosystem that have received investment from YZi Labs: Opinion, predict.fun, and Probable.
OPINION: THE LEADING PREDICTION MARKET ON BNB CHAIN
Opinion is the first prediction market platform in the BNB Chain ecosystem. According to ROOTDATA, Opinion announced on March 18 this year that it had completed a USD 5 million seed round, led by YZi Labs, with participation from echo, Animoca Ventures, Manifold, Amber Group, and others. In addition, Opinion was one of the four top-performing projects in the previous Binance Labs MVB program.
Points Rules
Opinion distributes points on a weekly basis, with a total of 100,000 points rewarded each week. The rules are as follows:
Trading volume requirement: Weekly trading volume ≥ USD 200 (with each single order ≥ USD 10) to be counted for points.
Holding time: Larger positions and longer holding periods result in higher points.
Liquidity provision (limit orders): Limit orders with an amount ≥ USD 10 are eligible for points. The longer the order stays open and the closer the price is to the best bid/ask, the more points earned. Limit orders incur zero fees and receive higher point weighting, making them the most stable way to accumulate points (market orders charge approximately 2% in fees).
Trading volume and fees: Higher transaction volume and greater fee contributions result in more points.
Christmas & New Year Points Campaign
Yesterday (December 22), Opinion announced on X the launch of a Christmas & New Year points campaign, with the following details:
Total rewards: 100,000 points
Campaign period: December 22 to January 5, 2026, lasting two weeks
Ways to earn points:
Daily Warriors: 20,000 points (more than 3 trades per day, for over 10 days)
Volume Kings: 20,000 points (daily trading volume over USD 2,000, for over 10 days)
Binance Wallet Elite: 10,000 points (cumulative trading volume over USD 2,000 during the campaign)
Diamond Hands: 20,000 points
Mystery Finale: 30,000 points
Additional notes on point distribution:
Diamond Hands rewards: Distributed based on users’ time-weighted open positions during the campaign, with data sourced from periodic platform snapshots.
Daily Warriors and Volume Kings rewards: Wallets that meet the corresponding daily trading thresholds on at least 10 days during the campaign will share the rewards.
Binance Wallet Elite rewards: Users who complete cumulative trading volume exceeding USD 2,000 via Binance Wallet during the campaign will share the rewards. This reward requires the use of a keyless address or a newly imported wallet; previously registered wallets on Opinion are not eligible.
PREDICT.FUN: A BNB CHAIN PREDICTION MARKET BY DINGALING
predict.fun is a prediction market platform launched on BNB Chain, founded by dingaling, a well-known figure in the NFT space. Unlike traditional prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, predict.fun introduces a key innovation: funds used for predictions are no longer idle but can generate additional yield during the prediction period.
On December 17, predict.fun founder dingaling announced on X that the platform had officially launched and distributed initial points via airdrops to meme traders on BNB Chain, Aster participants, and active users across various prediction markets. (For more interaction tutorials, see: A step-by-step guide to participating in predict.fun supported by CZ.)
Today, predict.fun officially announced on X that the first-week points campaign will end tonight at 10 PM Beijing time. Three days later, prediction points rewards and other additional airdrop rewards will be credited to users’ personal accounts, and the leaderboard will be updated. In addition, the second-week points campaign will begin immediately after the first week ends.
PROBABLE: A PANCAKESWAP-INCUBATED PREDICTION MARKET, POINTS SYSTEM COMING SOON
On December 16, PancakeSwap announced the launch of Probable, a fully on-chain prediction market platform incubated by PancakeSwap (with platform language support switchable to Simplified Chinese). The project is jointly supported by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs and will be deployed exclusively on BNB Chain. PancakeSwap stated that Probable is an independent project, with its team advancing product development and ecosystem expansion under the support of PancakeSwap and YZi Labs.
According to the introduction, Probable positions itself as a user-centric on-chain prediction platform, emphasizing zero fees, fully on-chain settlement, and a simplified user experience. In its initial phase, the platform will not charge prediction fees. Leveraging BNB Chain’s low-cost and high-performance infrastructure, Probable supports predictions on crypto asset price movements, global events, sports events, and certain region-specific niche markets.
On the mechanism side, Probable adopts UMA’s Optimistic Oracle as its event resolution tool, using dispute-based verification to confirm outcomes, thereby enhancing the transparency and censorship resistance of the prediction market. In addition, users can deposit using any token, and the system will automatically convert it into USDT on BNB Chain for participation, lowering the operational barrier.
Currently, Probable’s points system has not yet gone live. According to official information, a brand-new points system will be launched soon, with points calculated based on users’ trading volume. The backend has already begun tracking and accumulating users’ current trading volumes.
Read More：
When Prediction Becomes Infrastructure: How Probable Markets Is Positioning Itself Inside BNB Chain
From Token to Economy: How BNB Built Crypto’s Most Integrated Network
〈Hot Sectors, New Interaction Opportunities: Three Prediction Markets Backed by YZi Labs〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。
