12 月 24 日，据分析师 @alicharts 统计，历史上，比特币的主要周期在时间和深度上都遵循着令人惊讶的一致节奏：
• 从市场底部到顶部大约需要 1064 天；
• 从最高点回落到下一个最低点大约需要 364 天；
@alicharts 推断，若这种模式持续下去，比特币目前正处于 364 天的调整窗口内，这表明其底部可能出现在 2026 年 10 月左右，触底价格可能在 37,500 美元左右。

<div>12 月 24 日，据分析师 @alicharts 统计，历史上，比特币的主要周期在时间和深度上都遵循着令人惊讶的一致节奏：• 从市场底部到顶部大约需要 1064 天；• 从最高点回落到下一个最低点大约需要 364 天；@alicharts 推断，若这种模式持续下去，比特币目前正处于 364 天的调整窗口内，这表明其底部可能出现在 2026 年 10 月左右，触底价格可能在 37,500 美元左右。</div>

比特币下跌周期约持续364天，预计底部将在明年10月出现

On December 24th, according to analyst @alicharts, historically, Bitcoin's major cycles have followed a surprisingly consistent rhythm in both time and depth:

• It takes approximately 1064 days from market bottom to top;

• It takes approximately 364 days from the highest point to the next lowest point;

@alicharts infers that if this pattern continues, Bitcoin is currently within a 364-day correction window, suggesting that its bottom may occur around October 2026, with a potential bottom price of around $37,500.

<div>On December 24th, according to analyst @alicharts, historically, Bitcoin&#39;s major cycles have followed a surprisingly consistent rhythm in both time and depth: • It takes approximately 1064 days for the market to rise from its bottom to its top. • It takes approximately 364 days for the price to fall from its highest point to the next lowest point. @alicharts infers that if this pattern continues, Bitcoin is currently in a 364-day correction window, suggesting that its bottom may appear around October 2026, with a bottom price of around $37,500.</div>

The Bitcoin downtrend is expected to last approximately 364 days, with the bottom anticipated in October of next year.

CEO ether.fi believes that neither Bitcoin nor Ethereum are currently truly high-quality currencies, however, he believes that the ultimate form of a superior currency in the future...

CEO ether.fi: Neither Bitcoin nor Ethereum are high-quality cryptocurrencies yet.

Offchain Labs – the research and development team behind Arbitrum – recently announced a further increase in its ARB Token holdings, further reinforcing its long-term investment commitment to the company...

The Arbitrum team announces the purchase of additional ARB Token , increasing its investment in the project's core operations.

This article is from Prince, co-founder of Avon.
Compiled by Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina); Translated by Azuma (@azuma_eth)
TL;DR
People's use of DeFi has become highly similar. The market and infrastructure are maturing, but users' mentality has gradually shifted from curiosity to caution. The reward mechanism has changed from "users bear the risks and rewards themselves" to "users wait to be rewarded," and participation behavior has gradually converged around incentives.
The Fading DeFi
DeFi gives people the feeling that...