The KOL Index is a series based on TokenPost and DataMaxiPlus' community analysis technology, analyzing investor reactions and high-interest content within Telegram. It assesses market investment sentiment and trends through topics that garnered attention in the KOL community the previous day. [Editor's Note]
The previous day, a post on Bitcoin spot ETF fund flows garnered the most views in the KOL community. The topic of discussion was the continued short-term net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, while Ethereum and Solana ETFs exhibited contrasting trends. Furthermore, the overlap with the year-end options expiration schedule also fueled concerns about market volatility.
The growing issue of Bitcoin ETF net outflows
Data reporting a daily net outflow of approximately 2,800 BTC from US Bitcoin spot ETFs has been shared across the community. The continued net outflow over the past seven days has been repeatedly noted. Some posts interpreted this as a sign of short-term investor sentiment weakening. However, some cautioned that this should be separated from the medium- to long-term trend.
Volatility remains high ahead of year-end options expiration
As the year approaches, the Bitcoin options expiration, known as the largest in history, has garnered significant attention in the community. The high proportion of call options and the fact that the Max Payne price range is forming within a specific range were key points of discussion. Consequently, many shared the observation that price volatility could increase around the expiration date. Investors also increasingly emphasized the importance of managing short-term positions.
The rise of DeFi's profit story and the macro crisis theory simultaneously.
Meanwhile, anecdotal content summarizing real-world profit scenarios in the DeFi environment also attracted attention. Strategies such as staking, funding fees, and airdrops were introduced, even during periods of reduced liquidity. At the same time, a post warning of the possibility of a mid- to long-term crisis, citing financial market patterns similar to the Great Depression of 1929, also ranked highly in views. This demonstrates a trend of simultaneous consumption of short-term strategies and macro-level risk awareness.
The top-ranked content in the KOL community that day was centered around messages interpreting market volatility, focusing on ETF fund flows and options expiration issues. Investors responded more strongly to data sharing and scenario-based content than to individual price forecasts. This content was compiled based on Telegram messages collected using DataMaxiPlus' community analysis technology.
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