NFTs make a comeback in a bear market! A fat penguin appears on a Las Vegas sphere: What phenomenon are we seeing?

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The Las Vegas landmark Sphere was illuminated by the smile of a chubby penguin. This week-long light show, budgeted at $500,000 to $600,000 and estimated to reach 4.7 million people daily, is Pudgy Penguins' biggest move to bring the crypto market into the public eye amidst its quiet state.

Sphere lights up on Christmas Eve, NFT penguin transforms into mainstream IP

The Sphere's exterior wall features a display panel composed of over 5 million LEDs, which has previously showcased NBA games and music star performances; now, it's time for on-chain cartoon characters to take center stage. Pudgy Penguins deliberately avoids crypto topics, purely playing penguin animations, which both complies with the venue's restrictions on crypto advertising and clearly demonstrates the brand's move towards the mainstream. The previous unsuccessful attempt by the meme community Dogwifhat to raise funds for a spot on Sphere highlights Pudgy Penguins' enterprise-level execution capabilities.

From JPEG to Toys: A Strategy for Integrating the Real and the Virtual

Amidst a market downturn, most NFT projects are facing cash flow depletion due to their reliance on transaction royalties. Data shows that NFT transaction volume in the first quarter of 2025 decreased by 63% year-on-year, leaving only $1.5 billion. Pudgy Penguins' turning point came in April 2022 when entrepreneur Luca Netz acquired the project for $2.5 million, shifting his focus to physical merchandise and licensing. The brand has entered over 3,000 Walmart, Target, and Amazon stores; consumers who purchase physical toys receive a pass to Pudgy World , completing a "physical integration."

Luca Netz once emphasized:

"Although the profit margin of toys is thin, they can generate significant revenue and have the potential to be scaled up."

To date, physical toy sales have exceeded $10 million, driving the company's revenue forecast for this year to reach $50 million. Pudgy Penguins is no longer just competing with The BAYC for rock-bottom prices, but is now vying for consumer attention with Disney and Hasbro.

Compliance-Driven Survival: Transformation Under the Shadow of Regulation

While the Trump administration's policies have become more favorable to the crypto industry since taking office, liquidity remains low. Projects remaining on the market must pass compliance checks such as the Howey Test . Pudgy Penguins has chosen to focus on IP licensing and physical merchandise as its core revenue streams, thereby downplaying its "financial speculation" attributes. Although the price of PENGU tokens and NFTs is still down more than 80% from its peak, the company's physical revenue and brand visibility are growing against the trend, showing a decoupling between asset prices and operating value.

Observation: The Inevitability of Web3 Brands Moving Towards Traditionality

Sphere's dazzling lights mark the NFT market's transition from its "adolescence" to a more mature stage that tests operational fundamentals. Pudgy Penguins has announced a 2027 IPO plan, transforming the community-driven model common in the crypto space into auditable business reports. When the crypto craze subsides, only real cash flow will remain for verification. This blockchain-born penguin demonstrated a clear path in the winter of 2025: no longer fixated on floor prices, but instead rooted in the physical supply chain, licensing, and entertainment ecosystem.

The most successful blockchain applications of the future may all appear "ordinary"—like a traditional company focused on product and distribution channels. Pudgy Penguins lit up the Las Vegas night sky on Christmas Eve, marking a new milestone in the integration of Web3 and the real economy.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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