The Q4 2025 settlement has concluded. Structurally, option weighting is rapidly increasing, and the market is becoming increasingly dominated by derivatives and leverage, leading to continuously compressed volatility. To put it bluntly: the only opportunity left for retail investors to buy BTC spot at low prices may be this bear market; spot trading will no longer be the primary battleground for retail investors. Looking at the market:
#BTC is testing the daily MA30 again (around 89,500). If it can hold, the first target is a rebound to 100,000; if it fails to hold, a second pullback is almost inevitable.
#ETH is currently focused on whether it can break out of its weak-to-strong pattern. A clear one-sided breakout is needed, and even after the breakout, it should only be a slight reversal from weak to strong. Structurally, a pullback to 3600-3700 before turning short would offer a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Many are currently calling for a bear market, and their logic is simple: interest rate cuts haven't led to price increases, quantitative tightening hasn't stopped, and a host of long-term positive factors haven't materialized. But ultimately, bull and bear markets are just cyclical perspectives and don't have much significance for short-term trading. For short-term trading, look at 15-minute/1-hour/4-hour charts; there are countless opportunities every day. Long-term trading requires worrying about bull and bear markets; you buy in during bear markets and cash in during bull markets, with cycles potentially lasting 1-3 years, but also yielding the greatest returns. Different trading timeframes lead to different conclusions. Arguing about bull and bear markets in the short term is pointless.
The opportunity will be gone in the blink of an eye, everyone gather quickly!
Don't let hesitation delay your chance to make money, and don't get burned by worthless cryptocurrencies. Join Sister Miao and let's ride this bull market together!
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