【某聪明钱今年在Polymarket初始投入1000美元，累计获利超200万美元】火星财经消息，12 月 27 日，聪明钱「RN1」今年在 Polymarket 初始投资 1000 美元，累计获利超 200 万美元。相关页面显示，该地址今年主要参与体育版块预测，共参加超 1.3 万次预测，最大单笔预测收益为 12.9 万美元。 据加密 KOL @carverfomo 分析，该聪明钱通过高频交易形式，利用平台自动做市商中的临时价格不同步进行套利，其获利并不依赖于对事件本身的预测。

<div><p>【某聪明钱今年在Polymarket初始投入1000美元，累计获利超200万美元】火星财经消息，12 月 27 日，聪明钱「RN1」今年在 Polymarket 初始投资 1000 美元，累计获利超 200 万美元。相关页面显示，该地址今年主要参与体育版块预测，共参加超 1.3 万次预测，最大单笔预测收益为 12.9 万美元。 据加密 KOL @carverfomo 分析，该聪明钱通过高频交易形式，利用平台自动做市商中的临时价格不同步进行套利，其获利并不依赖于对事件本身的预测。</p></div>

某聪明钱今年在Polymarket初始投入1000美元，累计获利超200万美元

[A "smart money" account invested $1,000 initially on Polymarket this year and has since earned over $2 million.] According to Mars Finance, on December 27th, "RN1," a "smart money" account, initially invested $1,000 on Polymarket this year and has since earned over $2 million. The relevant page shows that this address primarily participated in sports predictions this year, making over 13,000 predictions, with the largest single prediction yielding $129,000. According to crypto KOL @carverfomo, this "smart money" account profited through high-frequency trading, exploiting the temporary price discrepancies within the platform's automated market makers, and its profits did not depend on predicting the events themselves.

<div><p>[A &quot;smart money&quot; account invested $1,000 initially on Polymarket this year and has since earned over $2 million] According to Mars Finance, on December 27th, &quot;RN1,&quot; a &quot;smart money&quot; account, initially invested $1,000 on Polymarket this year and has since earned over $2 million. The relevant page shows that this address primarily participated in sports predictions this year, making over 13,000 predictions, with the largest single prediction yielding $129,000. According to crypto KOL @carverfomo, this &quot;smart money&quot; account profited through high-frequency trading, exploiting the temporary price discrepancies within the platform&#39;s automated market makers, and its profits did not depend on predicting the events themselves.</p></div>

A smart money investor initially invested $1,000 in Polymarket this year and has since made a profit of over $2 million.

Are prediction markets simply well-packaged gambling, or a revolutionary innovation?

The debate seems to have strayed from the core issue.

This article, originally written by @0xJeff and translated and personally interpreted by @anymose, retains only the general meaning; for the original flavor, please refer to the original text.

01 When Risk is Packaged as Entertainment
The US is sliding into the abyss of "hyper-gambling": The market is flooded with sports betting apps optimized for teenagers, one-click prediction markets, and even absurd apps that use coin tosses to decide whether to double rent… Risk is blatantly packaged as entertainment, a sad reality.

Gambling has existed since ancient times:...

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Let's summarize what the top analysts are saying: During this period, resting is better than frequent trading. Maintaining your understanding is key; inaction is the best strategy.

Current Market Situation: High-Level Consolidation and "Washout"

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