✍️Prediction markets are springing up everywhere, but they have a fatal flaw. The main actors in an event can both influence the outcome and secretly place bets, similar to betting on sports. Therefore, even though Lighter verbally stated that he would achieve a TGE by 2025, no one dared to bet on "Yes" at the end of the trading day on various prediction markets. Because no one is certain whether there will be a stunning reversal at the last minute, the so-called decentralized predictions exist only in concept; don't take them seriously.