1. Current Recommended Direction - Currently, BTC is in a phase b correction, and two possibilities exist: ① From a bullish perspective, if the volume of segment b is greater than that of segment a (segment b volume 4059 < segment a volume 11369, which is not yet met), the market is in a healthy upward trend. It is recommended to wait for a second buy signal or try to long at a point in segment b. ② If a divergence occurs in segment b (i.e., the volume of segment b is insufficient and the price breaks through the downward yellow line segment), confirming the end of segment b, then take the high point of 94500 as the first selling point. You can short at the second selling point and wait for a lower liquidity range before choosing an opportunity to long for the long term. - At present, I prefer to wait and see, and participate only after the volume and price structure of segment b becomes clear, so as to avoid getting trapped if I intervene in advance. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - It is recommended to tentatively establish a position or enter with a small position, especially to look for long points within segment b, and avoid heavy positions. - Short short at a sell-like position (like the second sell line) with a stop-loss order placed at the red line (stop loss when the price returns to the red line to avoid your expectations being rejected). - The stop loss for the previous short position was set at the red line. The divergence in segment c has been confirmed to have ended, indicating that the stop loss was set reasonably. Continue to follow similar discipline. - There is no clear time frame; focus on the price returning to key segments (red and yellow segments) and changes in MACD volume. 3. Adapt to trading styles This strategy is suitable for conservative medium-term and trend investors, focusing on volume divergence and structural confirmation, and avoiding blindly chasing highs and selling lows. - Emphasizing waiting for healthy upward signals or clear divergence confirmation before taking action, this approach is suitable for patient investors. - It is not recommended to engage in aggressive short-term trading with quick in-and-out trades, and to avoid frequent operations where "a rebound is a window of opportunity to escape". - It is recommended to combine the central structure and volume indicators as operational catalysts, strictly adhere to stop-loss discipline, and prevent being trapped.
BTC: Summary of Advanced Bitcoin Community Discussions by Tiafilo (05:00:09 ~ 06:00:09)
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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