The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 85.1%.

According to ME News, on January 5th (UTC+8), CME's "FedWatch" showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January was 14.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 85.1%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut was 51.2%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 42.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 5.9%. (Source: ME)