The US IPO market is projected to underperform the S&P 500 in 2025, with crypto and AI companies significantly impacting overall performance.

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According to ChainCatcher, Bloomberg reports that the average increase in the share price of US-listed companies from their IPO price to the end of the year in 2025 is 13.9%, lower than the 16% increase in the S&P 500 index. The poor performance of cryptocurrency and AI companies is the main reason.

Stablecoin issuer Circle performed relatively well, surging 170% on its first day of trading after its IPO, but subsequently falling nearly 70% from a high of $263 to $84.80. Gemini performed poorly, plummeting 64.5% from its IPO price of $28 to $9.92. Bullish fell from a high of $68 to $37.87. Mid-sized IPOs ($500 million-$1 billion) rose by an average of only 5.6%, far lower than the 20% increase of large IPOs ($1 billion+).

PwC's head of US IPOs stated that the market has returned to being driven by fundamentals, investors are more discerning, and the barriers to entry for early-stage technology companies have significantly increased.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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