Analysis: January may mark a new turning point in Bitcoin's four-year cycle, with historical patterns showing structural divergence.

According to Odaily Odaily, the validity of Bitcoin's four-year cycle has once again become a major topic of discussion within the ecosystem. Some argue that the four-year cycle shouldn't extend to 2026 because ETFs have already absorbed $57 billion in inflows. However, opposing views suggest that the four-year cycle remains intact so far, and there are coincidental timing patterns in historical data. For example, the most recent local bottom for Bitcoin occurred on November 21, 2025, at a price of $80,524, while the low of the previous cycle was $15,460 on November 21, 2022—two identical dates. Currently, market attention has shifted to January 2026, with a hearing scheduled for January 15th for a US crypto market structure bill, an event seen as potentially marking another significant turning point in the current Bitcoin cycle. (CoinDesk)