As discussed yesterday, Bitcoin’s Network Growth is currently carving out lows not seen since the 2022 capitulation, while Liquidity continues to decline sharply. In 2022, this exact setup preceded a long consolidation phase that only resolved after a major liquidity bottom, which eventually paved the way for a powerful bull run. However, the current context demands caution. We have yet to exit this consolidation phase; both Network Growth and Liquidity remain in a state of "destruction." The price action we have witnessed since early January 2026 has been characterized by Small-Cap predominance rather than Bitcoin leadership. This suggests that the recent upside is primarily driven by speculation rather than solid, organic adoption. Historically, Bitcoin has anticipated sustainable macro moves through sustained predominance. In a healthy market environment, high BTC dominance concentrates value into the "engine" of the market. Once BTC consolidates after such a move, that accumulated value overflows into the rest of the ecosystem. This sequence is what validates a move as structural rather than purely speculative. For us to transition into a healthy, non-speculative market environment, we need to see Bitcoin Dominance reclaim its trend while Network Growth and Liquidity begin their recovery. Until the "engine" starts running, the foundation remains fragile.

Swissblock
@swissblock__
01-20
Network growth has hit lows not seen since 2022, while liquidity continues to drain. Back in 2022, similar network levels triggered a $BTC consolidation phase as network growth began to recover, even while liquidity remained weak and bottoming out. History shows that the
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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