
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Bearish on BTC, bull market is unlikely to continue</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>Counter-trend rallies are only tactical, not suitable for long-term bullish positions</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p>BTC is likely to remain weak at least through the first half of 2026, current rallies are not signs of a bull market continuation</p>
                                    </div>
                                    

Counter-trend rallies can happen for #BTC, but they are mostly tactical at this point, likely not the continuation of the bull market.
Bitcoin will likely continue to remain weak for at least the first half of 2026.
I wrote a memo about it here:
https://benjamincowen.com/reports/crypto-macro-risk-memo-q1-2026…

Twitter

The release of this new regulation marks a historic leap in the attitude of Chinese regulators towards virtual assets, shifting from a "complete ban" to a "combination of restriction and guidance."

Article Author & Source: Guofeng Law Firm On February 6, 2026, the "Notice on Further Preventing and Handling Risks Related to Virtual Currencies" (Yinfa [2026] No. 42, hereinafter referred to as "Document No. 42"), jointly issued by eight ministries led by the People's Bank of China, and the "Regulatory Guidelines on the Issuance of Asset-Backed Securities Tokens Overseas by Domestic Assets" (hereinafter referred to as the "Guidelines") simultaneously issued by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, have triggered significant reactions in the legal and financial circles...

Breaking News! The Year of China's RWA: A Compliant Channel Opens for Trillions of Yuan in Domestic Assets to Go Global

Unusual trading in BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), has led traders to speculate that this week’s sharp Bitcoin drop may have been triggered by one or more Hong Kong–based hedge ...

Bitcoin Selloff Sparks Hedge Fund Speculation Around BlackRock ETF

Hyperliquid, firmly holding the top spot in the crypto derivatives market, is attempting to extend its reach into another booming trillion-dollar market: prediction markets.

Article Author & Source: Bitpush
Today, Hyperliquid officially announced the testing of a new feature called "Outcomes." This news immediately ignited excitement in the secondary market, with its native token HYPE recording a gain of over 10% within 24 hours, pushing its price above the $30 mark.

[image.png] In Polymarket...

Is Hyperliquid entering the prediction market arena, aiming for the heart of the polymarket?

It’s cooked.  But therein lies the opportunity.

Tactical rallies are the reality in chop. Macro headwinds don’t disappear because of one green day.