Ethereum fell below the $2,500 mark... The rebound amid downward pressure is merely a "technical adjustment".
Ethereum (ETH) has sharply fallen below $2,500 (approximately 36.36 million Korean won), a structural support level, continuing its strong downward trend. Analysts believe the recent selling pressure stems from forced liquidations, and in the short term, the market is more focused on the possibility of further declines than on the influx of low-priced buying.
After breaking away from the upward trend line, Ethereum encountered strong resistance and reversed course in the $3,300-$3,400 (approximately 48 million-49.44 million Korean won) range. This range was near the high point where significant selling pressure had accumulated, and also where the market confirmed a strong downtrend reversal. Subsequently, the price was quickly suppressed to the $2,100-$2,200 (approximately 30.54 million-31.99 million Korean won) demand range. This area is a key support zone that has historically seen concentrated buying pressure and is crucial for determining whether a short-term rebound is possible.
However, from a technical analysis perspective, major moving averages are trending downwards, and attempts to recover above $3,000 (approximately 43.63 million Korean won) have all failed. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Ethereum will resume its upward trend. The current rebound is also highly likely to be just a "technical bounce within a downtrend."
On the short-term 4-hour chart, the recent plunge unfolded vertically, creating a large unmet selling pressure range above. Experts believe that Ethereum may rebound along the Fibonacci retracement level to around $2700-$2850 (approximately 39.27 million-41.47 million Korean won) in the short term. However, since this range is where previous support lines collapsed, it could very well become a strong resistance level.
Analysis of the liquidation heatmap, which shows the flow of market liquidity, reveals a large number of long positions being liquidated below the $2,500 mark, accelerating the price decline. In particular, a small amount of liquidity remains in the $2,200-$2,300 (approximately 31.99 million-33.45 million Korean won) range, and analysts suggest this range could become a short-term target if the price falls further.
Ethereum's price is currently in a short-term consolidation phase within a structurally weak environment. Reversing the downtrend requires not just a simple rebound, but a recovery in strong spot demand and structural support. However, as of now, liquidity remains concentrated below the price, making further declines in the short term difficult to rule out.
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Just like the recent Ethereum crash, true investor skill lies in understanding the structural distribution of liquidity and the root cause of selling pressure, rather than simply price fluctuations. A drop like the collapse at the $2500 level won't be recovered from by a short-term rebound. Technical analysis methods such as internal liquidation structures, the conversion of key resistance lines, and Fibonacci retracement ranges are no longer the exclusive domain of experts.
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TP AI Precautions
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