
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>ETH is at a critical rebound stage; needs a strong bounce to sustain bullish scenario</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>Monitor rebound strength; if insufficient, be cautious of further downside</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p><ol>
    <li>
ETH has retraced to the extreme Fibonacci 0.9 level
    </li>
    <li>
a strong rebound without breaking the low is needed to continue the bullish wave, otherwise it may enter a C wave downtrend
    </li>
</ol></p>
                                    </div>
                                    

1，如果延续1400---4950是以太坊新的上涨的第一浪的假设的话，那么以太已经回调到了比较极限的斐波那契回撤0.9的位置（理论上可以回撤99.9%）；
2，这次的反弹需要反弹的高一些，才能不再次跌破这个低点，然后才能延续这个假设；
3，如果1400-4950只是B浪中的一环，现在走的是C浪的话，嗯，只能说以太的空间就真的出来了。

一，小熊假设可能已经不成立：
之前的主观观点是，比特币由于参与人群，资金，基本面的改变，可能不会出现过去4年周期那样的深熊（70-80%跌幅），预计40-50%；
针对于15-126的回撤，我给的终极支撑点位是70000，这个点位：
1，15-126的斐波那契回撤0.5左右；
2，24年大横盘区间的上沿；  x.com/Guilin_Chen_/s…

陈桂林

Twitter

1. If we stick to the assumption that 1400-4950 was the first wave of ETH’s new rally, then ETH has already pulled back to the extreme 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level (theoretically, it could retrace up to 99.9%).
2. This rebound needs to go higher in order to avoid breaking below the recent low again and to keep this bullish scenario alive.
3. But if 1400-4950 was just part of the B wave and now we’re in the C wave, well, ETH’s potential downside could really open up.

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