Successfully predicted the return of Maduro to the location where he was arrested, investing $65,400, and predicted that "the US and Iran will cease fire before May."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, an address that successfully predicted Maduro's arrest returned in the past day, investing $65,400 in "Will the US and Iran ceasefire before May?" and betting "Yes". The probability of "Yes" for this event is currently 33%.

Former National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent publicly stated that he and other senior officials' concerns about striking Iran were not allowed to be fully communicated to Trump, leading to his resignation. He argued that policy disagreements within the United States are turning into open political pressure.

Trump publicly emphasized that neither the United States nor Qatar participated in Israel's attack on Iran's South Pars gas field, and warned Iran against further attacks on Qatar; major European countries also refused to become more deeply involved in the US military action against Iran, and preferred to handle the Hormuz issue through diplomatic and non-military means.

Note: Based on the trader's past trading history, it is determined that the trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur, but rather has engaged in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point in time after opening a position.

Account:
0x44de2a52d8d2d3ddcf39d58e315a10df53ba9c08

Total investment: $65.4k
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