According to Mars Finance, on March 29th, news of the US military preparing for ground operations against Iran ignited global attention. Unlike the full-scale invasion of Iraq in 2003, the Pentagon is employing a "decapitation strike" tactic this time—avoiding territorial occupation and a protracted war, targeting Kharg Island, Iran's oil lifeline, attempting to replicate the glory of the 1991 Gulf War with a "swift victory in a few weeks." Multiple foreign media reports indicate that the Pentagon is preparing a limited ground operation lasting several weeks, rather than a full-scale invasion. Currently, thousands of Marines and paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division have been deployed to the Middle East, including approximately 3,500 members of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Force aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli, reaching the heart of the Persian Gulf. On the 26th, the US military stated that it is considering deploying up to 10,000 additional ground combat troops, encompassing infantry and armored forces, a total force size only one percent of that used in the Iraq War, completely abandoning the million-strong troop deployment model of that conflict. The Pentagon's strategic intent is clear: abandon the costly and uncontrollable risks of a full-scale occupation, and instead focus on an "economic strangulation war." Its core tactical objective is directed at Iran's southwestern oil-producing region and the chokepoint of the Strait of Hormuz, specifically targeting Kharg Island, the core hub for Iran's crude oil exports. This island handles over 90% of Iran's crude oil exports and is considered the lifeblood of the Iranian economy. According to PolyBeats, on the forecasting market Polymarket, the probability of US troops entering Iran before the end of this month is 5%, and the probability before the end of April is 64%.
The US military's ground war plan for a swift victory in a few weeks has been revealed, aiming to replicate the "42-day Iraq War" myth.
This article is machine translated
Show original
Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
Like
Add to Favorites
Comments
Share
Relevant content





