Using AI to analyze a non-recessionary bear market: An average drop of 27% lasts 7 months, with a recovery time of 16 months to the previous high. In an optimistic scenario, the market begins to reverse around the peak season of September and October, approximately five months later. A recessionary bear market sees drops exceeding 50%, lasts approximately 27 months, and requires 43 months to recover. In a pessimistic scenario, it follows a four-year cycle. This year is the first year of the bear market, and it will gradually reverse around year 28. The most crucial factor in this is the Strait of Hormuz before the summer.