Key takeaways from Powell's Harvard speech further complicate the Fed's outlook.

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Bitcoin traded cautiously on Monday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made a surprise appearance and spoke at Harvard University.

In his speech, Powell offered both warnings and ambiguity, expressing long-term concerns, leaving the market confused about which direction to take.

Bitcoin price fluctuated as Powell's speech at Harvard added to uncertainty surrounding the economy and the Fed.

The "king" of the crypto market is trading at $67,415 at the time of writing , showing a fluctuating but still bullish trend for the day.

Bitcoin price performance Bitcoin price performance. Source: TradingView

The price movements reflect the general hesitation among investors, as Powell's remarks did not provide a clear direction for the Fed's next policy steps.

Powell acknowledged that the Fed is facing a very high degree of uncertainty, as policymakers "do not know" the full economic impact of current domestic and international uncertainties.

He emphasized that monetary policy tools “have not had a significant impact on supply shocks.” This comes amidgeopolitical tensions related to Iran and shifting US economic policies that continue to make the picture unpredictable.

Regarding inflation, Powell said the new taxes could cause the inflation index to spike by about 0.5% to 1% at a time, while he still believes that inflation expectations "have remained stable."

However, the Fed is still struggling to bringinflation down to its 2% target , something the central bank has failed to achieve for a long time.

Powell warns of fiscal risks and labor market weaknesses as Bitcoin remains stable amid uncertain macroeconomic trends.

Labor market issues were also mentioned. Powell emphasized the weakening job creation and pointed out that changes in immigration policy could be causing a decline in both labor supply and demand.

These observations reveal increasing fragility beneath the previously stable surface of the US labor market.

In the crypto market, the most noteworthy point isn't necessarily any clear policy signals, but rather Powell's strong warning about the long-term financial health of the United States.

He reiterated that national debt is “growing faster” than the rate of economic growth, calling this an “unsustainable path.” He warned that any delay in addressing this issue would “have dire consequences.”

This message continues to resonate strongly within the Bitcoin community, where many XEM the asset as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation and long-term fiscal risks.

Although Powell did not issue a warning about an unexpected crisis, these observations further reinforce the long-term bullish theory of Bitcoin based on fundamental structural factors.

Nevertheless, the market's reaction in the short term remains relatively subdued. Traders currently seem more interested in when the Fed will decide to cut interest rates. Current forecasts suggest only a single rate cut is highly likely this year.

Fed interest rate futures Fed interest rate Futures Contract . Source: CME FedWatch Tool

Powell confirmed that the Fed “has not yet discussed any upcoming actions,” further diminishing expectations of a short-term policy change.

The combination of uncertain economic signals, persistent Dai challenges, and warnings about fiscal risks has led both traditional financial markets and the crypto market to be cautious, awaiting clearer developments.

The current steady but non-breakthrough upward trend of Bitcoin also reflects this general indecisive sentiment.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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