CLUSDT: Summary of Discussions in the Shuqin Mute Group (22:00:10 ~ 23:00:10)

1. The current recommended strategy is to short CLUSDT crude oil contracts, based on the judgment that "a future ceasefire is 100% certain, and crude oil prices will inevitably return to the normal level of around 70 in the long term." Although the price is fluctuating at a high level in the 110-150 range in the short term, it will eventually fall back. We emphasize that "after the upward surge, a correction is inevitable, and we will profit." 2. Position and Risk Control Recommendations: Adopt a phased, light-position entry strategy. The initial 10% position short near 110 (close to the 115 resistance level), with a second 10% position placed with a buy order near 130 to add to the position. The total position should be controlled at around 20%. Emphasis is placed on "absolutely avoiding high leverage; the key is to avoid margin calls." The holding period is "several weeks to wait for the market to gradually decline after the war ends." There are no specific profit-taking or stop-loss points, but the focus is on long-term holding. 3. Suitable for stable medium- to long-term trend investing, based on the certain catalyst of a ceasefire, avoiding aggressive high-leverage operations. "1x leverage for long-term short short, you will make money as long as you don't get liquidated". Not suitable for quick in-and-out or aggressive short-term trading, emphasizing patient holding and waiting for the price to return to normal.