CLUSDT: Summary of Discussions in the Shuqin Mute Group (19:00:10 ~ 20:00:10)

1. The current recommended strategy is to short CLUSDT within its current price range (112 to 130), clearly indicating a long-term bearish trend in oil prices. It is predicted that oil prices will plummet by 40% after the war ends, and CLUSDT may immediately drop by more than 20%. The strategy emphasizes "shorting on rallies, not chasing the market," waiting for a rebound to resistance levels to short, positioning for a significant drop following the end of the war. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: We recommend a light short short with 1x leverage to avoid the risk of margin call and to establish a stable long-term short position. Focus on the price range of 112-130 as an entry point, using rebounds to resistance levels as short signals. No specific stop-loss or take-profit points are specified, but a cautious approach is emphasized to guard against potential pre-market manipulation by Trump releasing false positive news; the short position can be used as a hedge. 3. This trading strategy is suitable for conservative medium-term trend investing, based on the macroeconomic catalyst of the ongoing war and the eventual reversion of oil prices to the mean. It emphasizes avoiding short selling and waiting for a rebound to enter the market. It is suitable for patiently positioning oneself for a potential explosive drop after the war ends. Aggressive short-term trading or holding positions for too long is not recommended. Risk control and timing are crucial.