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In reality, data can hardly predict when to buy at the absolute bottom or sell at the absolute top. Even the most sophisticated data sets struggle to achieve this. However, data is used to gain a clearer understanding of asset allocation, capital flows, investor sentiment, and market consensus. But this data is likely less accurate than Trump's pronouncements about imposing 200% tariffs or planning attacks on certain targets tomorrow. No data can predict the actions of those in power, and the rules of the world are often controlled by those in power. In other words, those in power are the biggest "insiders." I remember someone predicting how many tweets Trump would post in a day. This might be difficult for others, but for Trump, he can win no matter what; it's just a matter of whether he chooses to act. Therefore, even analyzing thousands of Trump tweets is unlikely to be as accurate as Trump's own decisions. Data is like that: when the overall trend remains relatively stable, data is effective in reflecting the trend; but when an emergency disrupts the established trend, it becomes completely useless. The data clearly shows that most investors have a strong interest in Bitcoin below $70,000 and have been consistently buying. This is a fact. However, if World War III were to break out tomorrow, this entire trend would likely be disrupted, and these high-net-worth investors who are still buying might immediately turn into sellers. Therefore, data is more of a supplementary tool for making trading decisions; the decision to trade ultimately rests with you. If you knew tomorrow was the last day of the world, then buying anything wouldn't matter. But if you believe that the impact of such a geopolitical conflict won't be too significant and that prices will eventually recover, you might find BTC below $70,000 quite cheap. I believe that even high-net-worth investors buy Bitcoin in small amounts at a time, rather than going all in at once.

Phyrex
@PhyrexNi
其实不论是以 10 枚 $BTC 算高净值,还是以 100 枚 Bitcoin 持有者算高净值,结果都是一样的,都是高净值的投资者在增持,当然如果非要说是 1,000 枚 Bitcoin 才算高净值的话,我前边的推文说过了。 x.com/TradeWithLinn/…
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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