The market has raised its oil price expectations again, and it is highly likely that WTI crude oil will break through $115 per barrel.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, following Trump's threat that the US Navy would block the Strait of Hormuz and intercept all ships paying passage fees to Iran, market expectations for oil prices have risen again. On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of WTI crude oil closing above $115/barrel on a single trading day this month is now high (57%), above $120/barrel (40%), above $130/barrel (23%), and above $150/barrel (8%). Furthermore, according to market data, WTI crude oil closed at $95.74/barrel on the previous trading day.