aave has decided to unfreeze the Ethereum Core WETH market i find this decision a quite ill considered. in the current conditions/IRM configuration, this basically allows LST/LRT holders to take out extremely profitable looping positions, ensuring that aEthWETH remains illiquid for users trying to withdraw taking a look at a weETH loop as an example (weETH is not borrowable so has no solvency risk to Aave market): - weETH trades at 0.5% discount. if we assume this reverts to par-value within 1 month, this means the implied yield is ~6% plus base staking yield (lets call it 8% total) - the Aave Core ETH borrow rate is hard-capped at 5.15%. so each loop earns additional 2.85% yield. weETH can use 14x leverage so the final return would be up to ~45% (and this position cant be squeezed bc utilization is already at 100%) - this strategy also has short-side optionality into Aave solvency fears (eg if aEthWETH trades down to 1% discount, looper can earn instant ~13% return by purchasing aWETH and repaying debt with aToken) basically, this is just a free-money trade for LST/LRT loopers, while making UX for aWETH holders and stablecoin borrowers who have been stuck for the past 3 days even worse maybe this is the explicitly the goal and Aave team want to trap aWETH users in the market, preventing them from withdrawing collateral or refinancing high-cost debt positions to other lending markets? regardless, this decision seems to be based on PR considerations (wanting to show un-frozen ETH market on the frontend) rather than sound risk management or user protection
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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