The likelihood of the US reaching an agreement with Iran or extending the ceasefire before June 16 has decreased.
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According to ME News, on June 14 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that in the prediction of "the United States announcing a new Iran agreement/extending the ceasefire by June 16", the probability of the "Yes" option being executed dropped from 67.0% to 24.5%, a decrease of 42.5 percentage points in a single day.
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