煌道 | 交易之道

煌道 | 交易之道

40,406 Twitter followers

Follow

22年卖房抄底，前阿里资深运营，现职业交易；新型交易员，融合技术分析、数据分析、宏观分析；无付费群，每日记录自己的看盘及交易思路；电报群：http://t.me/huangdaoblock 交易所折扣：http://linktr.ee/huangdao

Posts

煌道 | 交易之道

1. December is often the historical low point for ETH/BTC, especially in the year after a halving, and the second year after a halving usually sees a big surge. 2. <RWA+DEFI> will be the narrative with the highest certainty in 2025, as policy-friendly measures will bring prosperity on-chain, and the on-chain prosperity will drive a surge in cryptocurrency prices, similar to the ICO boom in 2017 and the <DEFI> boom in 2021. 3. The on-chain stablecoin yield space, with projects like <ENA> and <USUAL>, has already started heating up.

煌道 | 交易之道

1. BTC ETF has seen net outflows for 4 consecutive days, and even more rare is that the leading BTC ETF provider BlackRock's IBIT saw a massive $180 million outflow on December 24th, as BlackRock had been buying for almost a year, this is the first time they have seen such a large outflow. 2. ETH ETF has overall been in a net inflow state in the recent 4 days, especially BlackRock's ETHA, which has been steadily increasing its holdings, institutions have already started positioning themselves for the style rotation next year.

煌道 | 交易之道

The usual ondo OM agreement is to redistribute the returns of rwa assets, while xlm and hbar are the underlying blockchains for part of the rwa assets to be on-chain, and crv provides better liquidity and circulation for the rwa stablecoin. These coins have been performing well recently, and the future looks promising!

煌道 | 交易之道

如果山寨有段位王者：RWA相关 ONDO OM CRV XLM XRP HBAR 钻石：特朗普/马斯克相关 AAVE LINK COW DOGE 本周期创新项目 SUI 、ENA、USUAL、HYPE 黄金： AI、DEPIN、MEME相关 FET、TAO、VIRTAL、JASMY、HMT、XYO、PEPE 青铜：铭文版块铭文皆垃圾

煌道 | 交易之道

CVX and CRV have decoupled, which is equivalent to a 60% discount. CVX has locked up around 30 million CRV. Will the project team buy back? Are there any brave arbitrageurs?

煌道 | 交易之道

1. The fluctuation of BTC will continue, this is a process of the 2-day line MACD returning to the 0 axis, and it is possible that it will fall below the 90,000 level. 2. ETH and altcoins have already oversold in advance, and the bottom has been formed. 3. In any case, the volatility in the next few weeks will be the last opportunity to get on board, and the performance of ETH and altcoins, especially in the first quarter, is very optimistic for 2025. 4. RWA, DeFi, AI Agent, and Grayscale concepts are all good targets.

煌道 | 交易之道

Coinbase 2025 Outlook, keywords: <etf2.0>, <rwa>, <stablecoins>, DeFi, <Telegram bots>, <depin>, <ai>, <prediction markets>, <game>, <multi-chain and l2> This basically covers the main development directions of the industry, traders and project parties should take a look.

煌道 | 交易之道

The TVL of US debt RWA grew 6-fold last year, with ONDO and OM being the top 3 in this track. Crypto giants like TETHER and matrixport have also joined the fray in RWA. Traditional capital like BlackRock and Fidelity are lining up to enter, along with stocks and commodities. This is a track that has just started and has no ceiling. After RWA, a range of financial derivatives such as stablecoins, lending, and staking will be needed, which will allow DEFI to flourish again.

煌道 | 交易之道

如果山寨有段位王者：RWA相关 ONDO OM CRV XLM XRP HBAR 钻石：特朗普/马斯克相关 AAVE LINK COW DOGE 本周期创新项目 SUI 、ENA、USUAL、HYPE 黄金： AI、DEPIN、MEME相关 FET、TAO、VIRTAL、JASMY、HMT、XYO、PEPE 青铜：铭文版块铭文皆垃圾

煌道 | 交易之道

If copycats have ranks King: RWA related ONDO OM CRV XLM XRP HBAR Diamond: Trump/Musk related AAVE LINK COW DOGE Innovative projects in this cycle SUI, ENA, USUAL, HYPE Gold: AI, DEPIN, MEME related FET, TAO, VIRTAL, JASMY, HMT, XYO, PEPE Bronze: Inscription section All inscriptions are garbage

煌道 | 交易之道

1. The market is expected to see a new round of uptrend starting in mid-January, with the correction and consolidation period lasting around two more weeks. 2. Based on historical patterns, BTC is expected to see a 20% correction, potentially falling below the previous long wick of $90,600 liquidation, to around the $85,000 level. 3. ETH and some altcoins have already seen deeper corrections in advance, and ETH is unlikely to fall below the $3,000-$3,100 range. BTC is expected to drop faster than the altcoins in the next two weeks.

煌道 | 交易之道

The leading RWA project ONDO has recently seen its funding rate drop sharply. This is likely related to the upcoming massive $3.1 billion unlock on January 18th, which exceeds the current market capitalization and includes over $500 million from private placements. Many investors have <short> on the contract to hedge and lock in profits, thereby avoiding losses from the unlock dump.

Loading..