麦田🇺🇦

麦田🇺🇦

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Trading.Bullshit.

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It's decided. I'll no longer discuss US stocks on Twitter. Instead, I'll be writing a subtitle. I'll update the subtitle irregularly, and the content will be more concise, focusing on only one issue: what I consider "trading opportunities" at present, mainly swing trading opportunities and long-term opportunities, excluding short-term trading. Interested Twitter users can subscribe to the subtitle. It's currently free, but will become a paid service after a while. maitian99.substack.com

Last April's "Liberation Day" was a bull market "bought out" by retail investors; and after October, it was also a bull market "held up" by retail investors. This is the characteristic of this round of bull market. Institutions followed the trend after retail investors "bought out" the bull market in May; then they were the first to flee in October. Retail investors have been holding on until now! (6)

[2.7 US Stocks: Some Thoughts] This series of speculations considers two issues. The first is the market performance this week, and the second is the market performance since October last year. Let's start with the first point: This week's "deleveraging" was very clearly caused by non-fundamental factors. Why this week? Because gold and silver crashed last Friday. The crash had consequences, which extended to Bitcoin and US stocks this week. This propagation path is clearly from different assets with high momentum (silver) to low momentum (US stocks) (1)

[US Stocks, February 6] Huge losses this week! The biggest weekly loss in two years. Tuesday's losses were two-thirds due to earnings reports. This loss was purely because I didn't follow discipline in my PYPL trades, and the consequences included not only the loss of that trade itself, but also the loss of potential profits due to position adjustments. A profound lesson! Today's rebound also resulted in significant losses, but these were anticipated "floating losses" from left-side entry, so it can't be considered a mistake yet. Holding positions: short on the left chart, long on the right chart.

According to my pre-market plan, my swing trading positions are as follows: 50% short, mainly in South Korea, chips, Apple, Walmart, and oil; 20% long, just two stocks; and 30% cash.

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