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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
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🌍 AI驱动的Web3信息枢纽，和Followin一起，开拓全球视野，寻觅早期机遇。 👉 英文 @followin_io｜ 💬 讨论群：https://t.co/WDIQxlZT4N｜ ⚡️闪电快讯：https://t.co/Lp4O6anQgr
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
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Gold continues to hit new highs, stocks rise, is the Christmas rally really here? The Santa Claus rally, also known as the Christmas rally, is a classic seasonal phenomenon. For example, the probability of #US stocks rising during this period is 76% to 80%, with the S&P 500 rising more than 7% in its highest Christmas week, and the historical average increase is around 1.3%. Therefore, if we can make good use of this rally, it shouldn't be a problem to get off to a good start for next year's trading. 1. Will the crypto market rise or fall? According to historical data, the crypto market has risen 9 times during the Christmas rally, with a probability of rising of about 82%, but there were also significant declines in 2021 and 2022. 2. Will #Bitcoin have a Christmas rally this year? In previous years, it was highly likely, but this year it may be more difficult. Because this year, after #BTC corrected from its October high, it has been fluctuating around $90k, neither rising nor falling significantly. The reason for this is poor liquidity and macroeconomic headwinds. While Christmas might alleviate emotional stress and a return of funds is possible after the holiday, this effect is unlikely to be sustained. Currently, funds are flowing into gold and silver rather than BTC, highlighting the poor market sentiment. 3. What do KOLs think? @laofeiyyds: The longer the consolidation, the higher the potential breakout. BTC will break $100,000 by Christmas, ending the short-term bear market. From now on, I'm only bullish, not bearish. @Bqlsj2023: Unemployment claims data is important. If it exceeds expectations, BTC might move upwards. There's always a post-Chinese New Year rally around Christmas. @CatoKt4: During periods of US stock market closure or low liquidity, BTC might experience a technical dip or rise due to market downturn, followed by a gradual correction after Christmas. @Guilin_Chen_: The US stock market as a whole $SPX and $IXIC are already in the top range and are currently undergoing sector rotation at the end of the bull market; $NVDA $MSFT $AAPL $META $AMZN have all entered a correction phase following the rise since April of this year. @BTC__options: December was a low-volatility month, and I believe the next two weeks will also be low-volatility, and most likely a gradual decline. 4. Expectations for the First Quarter of Next Year The significance of the Christmas market lies in its directional influence on the future market. Because this period coincides with a macroeconomic vacuum, without any positive or negative policy developments, it's important to observe whether funds choose to buy or sell risky assets. If significant funds flow in at this time, it will reflect market confidence and lay a foundation for sentiment in the new year. Conversely, a lack of inflow indicates weak confidence in the performance of risky assets next year, suggesting frequent volatility in the first quarter. Currently, before the holiday, the index has already fallen below 88k, with a decline in turnover, clearly demonstrating the fragility of current market sentiment. Next, major institutions will be on holiday, further tightening liquidity. If Santa Claus doesn't arrive soon, Christmas might turn into a Christmas disaster…
META
2.65%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
🔥Looking at the mental journey of top trader Banmu Xia over the past two months will make you understand how terrifying this market is! The most devastating aspect of the recent market is that it constantly gives you hope of a "reversal," creating the illusion of "almost right," and then precisely crushes you at every turning point. Looking back at Banmu Xia's 60-day retreat of faith: ✅Early November: Full of hope, locking in 84,000 as the "ironclad bottom." ✅November 23: Firmly believing that 80,000 is the "ultimate salvation" of this bear market. ✅December 11: Full of confidence, aiming for 112,500, announcing the imminent start of a broad-based rally. ✅December 18: The final charge, shouting "This is the most worthwhile time to buy in the last month or two." ✅5 days later (December 23): An abrupt end. A single sentence, "Stop being bullish, the market is complex," brought the two months of unwavering determination to a helpless close. Don't laugh at traders' inaccurate predictions; in this market, making money is harder than eating shit. If even your most sensitive instincts start to fail, the best course of action might be: no action. #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
BTC
2.36%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
🔥 2025 is drawing to a close, and if I had to describe it in one word, it would be "tragic." Two recent news flashes about "whales" (referring to cryptocurrencies) probably best capture the essence of Crypto today. 📖 Story 1: In September, a whale with overflowing confidence frantically hoarded PUMPs with $20 million. He thought he had caught the wealth-generating machine of the MEME era, but after three months of tormenting decline, he finally sold at a loss in despair three days ago. $12 million vanished. 📖 Story Two: In 2024, a whale heavily invested in ENA at an average price of $1.099, worth $18.52 million. At that time, ENA was still a rising star among stablecoins poised to change the world. Today, ENA has plummeted to $0.2079. Today, it all rushed into Coinbase. This means its assets have shrunk by 82%. One is the pinnacle of MEME, the other is a rising star among stablecoins. When they were hot, they were "consensus"; after the hype died down, they were just "worthless pieces of paper". If whales are like this, what about ordinary people who rush in with a few thousand USDT? The most profound lesson 2025 taught us is: don't fall in love with your holdings, especially when the tide goes out. Did you survive this wave of "value resetting"? Share your most painful loss this year in the comments section. 👇 #meme #Crypto #BTC #pump #ena
PUMP
12.72%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
🚨A roundup of the hottest Crypto news from last night: Get the market focus in 1 minute | 12/23 1⃣ #BTC, #ETH, and #SOl surged and then retreated, continuing to fluctuate. BTC has failed to break $90,000 six times recently. US stocks rose slightly last night. Market sentiment is somewhat low. 2⃣ Rumor: Trump will announce his exact nominee for Federal Reserve Chair in the first week of January, with Hassett's odds of winning rising to 61% on Polymarket. 3⃣ Ignoring the "1M death law," the Sol chain's MEME large MC memecoin(#Snowball) failed to break through 10M in market capitalization and fell back to 7.4M. On-chain MEME popularity has slightly rebounded. 4⃣ Hyperliquid has launched a pre-market contract for its on-chain contract project #LIT (#Lighter). LIT is currently priced at $3.96, with a market capitalization of nearly $4 billion. The airdrop is expected on December 29th. 5. Statistics show that in 2025, new coins frequently experienced price drops below their initial offering price, with only 15% of projects having a lower FDV than during the TGE period. Heartbreaking. 6⃣Tom Lee is really tough. BitMine added another 98,000 ETH last week, bringing its total holdings to over 4 million ETH. However, ETHZilla cashed out more than $70 million, and some of their coffers couldn't hold up. 7⃣ Amid internal strife, a vote was launched to return brand assets to the DAO. Founder Stani bought 5.15 million USDT worth of AAVE to show his stance. However, AAVE is still down 10%. 8⃣ Gold hit a new high, with #PAXG on Binance rising to 4492, a 2.6% increase in a single day. Silver has risen 139% this year! Precious metals have completely outperformed cryptocurrencies this year. #Crypto
BTC
2.36%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
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🔥Sol Chain has finally released another large MC memecoin, Snowball, defying the "1M death law," with its market value soaring to 8M in just 5 days! The narrative behind Snowball is "using creator revenue to buy coins through market making," touted as a perpetual motion machine. Ignore it; it's unimportant. ✳️Importantly: The MEME world has been very tough lately, with everything needing to be boosted once it reaches 1M, but it broke the curse and surged to 8M in 5 days, and even got listed on Bybit Alpha and Mexc Meme+, which is very rare recently. Then I saw several KOLs mention it, which is something that hasn't happened in a long time. 🚨Risk: The 8M mark is in a rather awkward position right now. 10 million USD is a life-or-death line. If the market maker lacks strategic vision, failing to cross it will lead to an abyss. My thoughts are: either wait for a sharp, halved pullback (to see if it can find support after a shakeout), or see if it can break through the 10M mark with increased volume and then retrace to the 10M mark. @BTCOld8's comment is worth reflecting on: Play around, but don't get carried away. Looking at the associated token PUMP, it has a market capitalization of 2 billion and its price movement has been relatively stable in the past two days. Do you think the ball can roll past the 10 million mark? 👇 #Snowball #PUMP #SOL #雪球
SNOWBALL
0%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
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🤯 The Strongest Power Struggle in DeFi History: AAVE's Quagmire Turns into a "Golden Opportunity" for Revaluation! Aave's recent internal strife is not just a simple soap opera, but the most profound power struggle in Web3 history regarding protocol ownership. ⏳ Four Acts to Understand Aave's Power Shift: 1️⃣ Conflict of Interest: Labs attempted to issue tokens for its new product, Horizon, but was strongly opposed by the DAO—"Don't try to dilute the returns of AAVE holders!" 2️⃣ Alleged Interception: Labs changed front-end settings, transferring approximately $10 million in annualized transaction fees to a private address, prompting the DAO to accuse it of "backstabbing." 3️⃣ Collapse of Trust: The two sides are engaged in a multi-front war over MegaETH deployment and Vaults ownership, with Labs accused of attempting to "privatize" the protocol. 4️⃣ Declaration of Sovereignty: On December 23rd (tomorrow), the DAO will hold a historic vote to officially reclaim control of the brand and IP from Labs! ⚖️ The Essence of the Struggle: This is no longer an era where "the founders call the shots." Essentially, it's a direct confrontation between the equity interests of developers and the sovereignty of token holders. 🔮 2026 Final Scenario Prediction: A "conditional ceasefire and dividend distribution" is highly probable. When the conflict ends, the AAVE token will transform from a "governance document" to a "dividend-sharing certificate." —DAO regains sovereignty: Domain names and trademarks are nationalized. —Labs takes the service fee: Becoming the DAO's "senior contractor," retaining a reasonable share of the profits. 📈 Market Analysis: While AAVE is shrouded in governance uncertainty and its market capitalization is suppressed at 2.5 billion, its old rival SKY has bucked the trend, rising for four consecutive weeks and breaking through 1.5 billion. We believe that once this power struggle concludes, AAVE, revitalized by its token-enabled architecture, may finally see its true value return. If AAVE DAO succeeds, will more DeFi protocols follow suit? #AAVE #DeFi #SKY #DAO #CRYPTO
AAVE
5.13%
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
🔥Today we saw gold, silver, and palladium all hit new highs! Since the correction at the end of October, gold has been trading above the 25-35 day moving average. Silver, on the other hand, rose along the four-hour moving average; Palladium rose along the three-day moving average. Synchronization: This "synchronized new highs" usually signifies the start of a major trend. Gold provides "stability," silver provides "elasticity," while the addition of palladium indicates a dual surge in industrial and investment demand. In this clear upward trend, trading volume has not weakened significantly and no bearish structure has emerged. Don't try to short the short at the top; otherwise, you'll become "fuel" and be carried along. Although the overall environment indicates poor liquidity in the US, the candlestick chart is the true reflection, and you should follow the trend. Most importantly, do not prematurely declare a top unless a clear top formation or a significant sell-off with high volume is observed. There will be higher highs after the initial peak, and even higher and higher still, so do not sell prematurely. However, it's also important to carefully monitor whether the price breaks below the moving average and enters a consolidation phase. Generally, the market needs to enter a consolidation phase before it has a chance to turn bearish. The probability of a direct shift from a bullish to a bearish trend is the lowest, so even if the market reverses, it will usually experience a period of consolidation first. For instructions on how to correctly use moving averages, see here: followin.io/zh-Hans/feed/22071...… #Gold#Silver
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Followin 華語 - 熱點風向標🫡
🚨Last Night's Crypto News Roundup: Get the Market Focus in 1 Minute | 12/22 1⃣ #BTC, #ETH, #SOl are fluctuating; pay attention to Monday's US stock market performance. Note! This week is the legendary "Christmas rally," and data shows a 79% probability of a rise (in US stocks). 2⃣This Week's Macro Outlook: Tuesday's US GDP data will test the "results" of the rate cut; US stocks will be closed on Thursday for Christmas; the market is focused on whether Trump will announce his nominee for Fed Chair. 3⃣IOSG Jocy: The current market is not at the top of a bull market but rather a period of institutional accumulation; optimistic about the first half of 2026. Key points to watch in 2026: progress on the Market Structure Act legislation, the possibility of expanding strategic BTC reserves, and policy continuity after the midterm elections. 4⃣On Polymarket, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 19%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80%. 5. Messari's 2026 research report provides insights into seven major crypto sectors: Cryptocurrency, TradeFi, Chains, DeFi, AI, DePIN, and consumer applications. 6. Michael Saylor has released another BTC Tracker update, potentially hinting at further accumulation. Note: Strategy's BTC holdings currently show an 18.3% unrealized gain, approximately $9.19 billion. Its cost basis is $74,972. 7. Galaxy's research director predicts BTC will reach $250,000 by the end of 2027. Interestingly, data shows the 2026 price action is too volatile to predict. 8. Attention! The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been in negative territory for eight consecutive days, currently at -0.0421%. However, the good news is that the negative premium has narrowed in recent days. 9⃣ This week's major unlocks: H (4.79%), XPL (4.52%), JUP (1.73%), SOON (5.97%). Real currency prices fell, but market capitalization rose. #Crypto #WEB3
ETH
2.24%
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