Pepesso

Pepesso

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DeFi Diver & Memecoin Maestro 🐸 | Catching airdrops & spinning crypto threads 🧵 | Your go-to for Pepe-style alpha 🔍

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Don’t get fooled by this small bounce Most people think the bottom is already in But this is how traps are usually set Here’s why the real move hasn’t happened yet 👇🧵

🚨 MARKET PANIC IS FAKE Bitcoin and altcoins are under strong selling pressure Price action looks weak and market sentiment is broken This is exactly how local bottoms usually form Here is what really matters: > Most BTC supply is currently at a loss > Leverage has been fully flushed from the market > Funding rates remain consistently negative This means positioning is already defensive We’ve seen this setup many times before When everyone expects further downside, selling pressure is already exhausted At the same time, real buyers start to appear ETF flows have turned positive again Large players are accumulating fear, not chasing price Key FUD narratives have also failed to materialize Despite the loud headlines, nothing systemic has broken If you think about it, the pattern is simple: > Tops form on optimism > Bottoms form on distrust So be careful and beware of FOMO!

🚨 SHUTDOWN RISK IS BACK ON THE MARKET The probability of a US government shutdown by January 31 is now close to 80% This risk is driven by political confrontation with no signs of compromise Plus the debt ceiling has already been raised to $41.1T This allows the conflict to drag on and increases the probability of a shutdown Why this really matters for crypto: > When a shutdown starts the US Treasury usually rebuilds the TGA > As is known this process directly drains liquidity from financial markets During the last shutdown the TGA increased by roughly $220B This liquidity outflow hit risk assets hard The market reaction was typical: 1) A short period of resilience 2) Tightening liquidity conditions 3) Selling of risk assets 4) $BTC and $ETH dropped by 20 to 25% 5) Altcoins dropped much harder The current market setup looks weaker BUT > Liquidity is already tight > Market confidence remains fragile On top of that crypto is already reacting sharply even to small capital flows A TGA rebuild during a shutdown could hit harder than last time That is why I recommend being prepared for the worst case scenario to avoid chasing FOMO later

I spent 3 days and thanks to this wallet I understood Polymarket It made $448,186 in profit from just 26,756 trades It trades only binary markets with a fixed $1 settlement The strategy is extremely simple and easily scalable Here is how it works: Step 1: Waits for volatility or panic driven repricing Step 2: Buys YES and NO when combined pricing drops below $1 Step 3: Uses stable position sizes Step 4: Holds both sides until settlement Step 5: Repeats the same loop continuously All of this seemed strange to me but when I tried it I clearly understood that this is just a money printer Profile: polymarket.com@distinct-baguette…

🚨 $BTC.D IS LOSING CONTROL Bearish pennant forming on dominance Pressure is building to the downside Break = path toward 52%

I tracked one Polymarket wallet overnight It made $279,930 trading 15 min markets Trades price direction across multiple coins The setup is extremely simple Here strategy: Step 1: Trades only during thin liquidity windows Step 2: Buys YES aggressively to move market odds Step 3: Lets bots auto-sell into stretched prices Step 4: Builds size at a favorable average Step 5: Nudges spot price right before settlement He knows exactly what he is doing Profile: polymarket.com@a4385

The real reason behind the US-Venezuela conflict It’s not OIL that everyone is screaming about, it’s GOLD Venezuela has the largest gold reserves in Latin America Here’s the real secret plan of the US and what will happen to #crypto 👇🧵

I tracked a Polymarket wallet after noticing an unusual PnL curve An initial $2,000 turned into $337,938 in less than a month The wallet trades only short term crypto YES NO markets Most of the volume is focused on $BTC 15m windows Positions are opened in one direction with no hedging Here is how this setup works Step 1: Monitors spot price on Binance in real time Step 2: Waits for a clear momentum move Step 3: Checks Polymarket before odds adjust Step 4: Enters during the pricing lag Step 5: Holds to resolution and repeats There is a delay between spot markets and Polymarket price updates This delay creates consistent pricing imbalances YES contracts are accumulated well below fair value NO contracts are bought near zero right before window close One ETH trade returned 785 percent in under 15 minutes Average position size is around $7,000 The wallet executes dozens of trades per day Total trading volume exceeds $69 million Losses are rare and remain small The opportunity still exists Profile: polymarket.com@PurpleThunderBicycleMountain…

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