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Chris Lee
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Merkle 3s Capital、TKX 联合始创人｜前火币集团CFO | 前新火执行董事| 前@OKX CEO 兼集团CFO | 巴菲特慈善午餐参与者| 机构亚太最佳CFO | 亚洲货币香港最佳高管|英文推特@ChrisMerkle3s |谈情论义！央央中华五千年～ 所有评论皆非投资建议 DYOR～
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Chris Lee
Even OG (Original Guru) figures are disappointed with blockchain! But fortunately, some of Satoshi Nakamoto's visions have been realized! Blockchain's greatest function is indeed to empower finance. Stablecoins are a success story, truly serving the unbanked through wallets, and will undoubtedly revolutionize the entire payment system in the future. If you ask insightful OG entrepreneurs, they will most likely all feel disappointed, and have been for a long time—the honest opinions of several super OG bosses. But he categorized it as having "financial empowerment attributes," and perhaps starting from this direction can benefit society!
Colin Wu
@colinwu
突然在想，近 20 年了，币圈最牛的最重要的还是比特币、以太坊，是否意味着这个行业其实也没啥进步？或者没有什么真正留下来了？
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Chris Lee
2026 Gold Price Forecast Based on this research, I predict that gold prices will trend upward in 2026, averaging between $5,000 and $5,500 per ounce throughout the year, climbing to $5,800 to $6,300 per ounce in December. This forecast incorporates the median of the consensus market expectation (approximately $4,750 per ounce) and references upward revisions from JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, while highlighting structural factors such as central bank gold purchases (which 80% of forecasts consider a key factor). • Q1-Q2 2026: Gold prices will consolidate around $5,000 to $5,200 per ounce to digest the volatility at the beginning of the year (e.g., the recent 9.8% daily drop) and benefit from continued inflows into ETFs and physical gold. • Q3-Q4 2026: If geopolitical risks persist or the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates further, gold prices will accelerate to above $5,800 per ounce; in a "slight decline," prices could even break through $6,000 per ounce. A severe economic recession could drive gold prices up by 20% to 30%, but rising inflation would limit the upside to around 5%. This forecast is based on stable uncertainty; significant easing of tensions (e.g., conflict resolution) could lead to a stabilization or range-bound trading in gold prices. Investors should allocate 3% to 5% of their portfolios to gold for diversification and closely monitor Federal Reserve policies and central bank reports. For real-time updates, please refer to gold price data released by organizations such as the World Gold Council (WGC) or the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA). - Not investment advice, DYOR
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Chris Lee
People don't always need to be at the forefront. Stopping to look back, evaluating themselves, and occasionally taking a break to reflect is more fulfilling. When you reach a certain stage in life, it's necessary to re-evaluate yourself and adapt to changes in your environment. Just like the crypto now, it has undergone tremendous changes compared to 2017/2018 and 2020/2021. We need to adapt to these changes. In my youth, 80% of my wealth was tied up in cryptocurrencies, and I didn't notice the daily fluctuations of millions or tens of millions. That's no longer the case. The times have changed dramatically, accelerated by AI, and asset values ​​can shift in an instant, such as SaaS software and cryptocurrencies. On the contrary, a consensus that has lasted for thousands of years will not disappear all at once! Like gold, the ballast of a portfolio must contain at least 15% gold. Recognizing aging is also a form of protection. Buy more stable assets such as the market index, allocate funds monthly to generate cash flow, and then use the cash flow to invest in major technology trendsetters such as Tesla. As long as the green hills remain, there will always be firewood! Like Buffett, survive, live longer, and witness this rapidly changing world! This is not investment advice, DYOR.
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Chris Lee
Bitcoin, it will always come back! Buckle up and enjoy the journey in 2026! I hope everyone can weather this crypto winter. I entered this industry in 2016 and am now experiencing its third cycle. Compared to other traditional assets, Bitcoin is relatively new and small. Although it has a "store of value" function, it is classified as a "risky asset." The only factor determining its value is "liquidity." With institutional investment, things have become more complex, with various leveraged products amplifying its impact. In fact, every asset has its underlying logic. The most important thing about Bitcoin is that it's the only decentralized asset widely accepted by the public. When I was at OKX, people joked that even a nuclear bomb couldn't destroy Bitcoin. Duan Yongping often says that when investing in an asset, you should mainly look at two things: the business model and the culture. Bitcoin is the only decentralized proxy asset with a limited supply of 21 million coins that is widely accepted; it's a kind of religion, a faith. Many good companies, like Tesla, seem expensive to some based on data, but people believe in Elon Musk; he can create miracles. While Tesla's stock price is volatile, it consistently delivers surprises (and sometimes shocks), just like Bitcoin. It has never disappointed me; it always comes back. I'm grateful that even as a traditional professional like a CPA and a CFO of a large company, I have this faith. It has made me who I am, and I believe it can make many more successful, and I see future opportunities for the next generation. Furthermore, with the 2028 halving cycle still two years and three months away, on-chain assets (RWA) are surging, and the CAGR of stablecoins is conservatively estimated at over 40% by 2030. This year, market volatility will be high, not only in cryptocurrencies but also in stocks and gold. However, what remains constant is the government's continuous printing of money. Bitcoin, gold, and silver are truly People's Money! Brothers and sisters, have faith! Fasten your seatbelts and enjoy the ride! This assumes low leverage, or even no leverage at all! Wishing you and your family health and peace! Chris Lee
BTC
1.84%
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Chris Lee
Bitcoin, it will always come back! Buckle up and enjoy the journey in 2016! I hope everyone can weather this crypto winter. I entered this industry in 2016 and am now experiencing its third cycle. Compared to other traditional assets, Bitcoin is relatively new and small. Although it has a "store of value" function, it is classified as a "risky asset." The only factor determining its value is "liquidity." With institutional investment, things have become more complex, with various leveraged products amplifying its impact. In fact, every asset has its underlying logic. The most important thing about Bitcoin is that it's the only decentralized asset widely accepted by the public. When I was at OKX, people joked that even a nuclear bomb couldn't destroy Bitcoin. Duan Yongping often says that when investing in an asset, you should mainly look at two things: the business model and the culture. Bitcoin is the only decentralized proxy asset with a limited supply of 21 million coins that is widely accepted; it's a kind of religion, a faith. Many good companies, like Tesla, seem expensive to some based on data, but people believe in Elon Musk; he can create miracles. While Tesla's stock price is volatile, it consistently delivers surprises (and sometimes shocks), just like Bitcoin. It has never disappointed me; it always comes back. I'm grateful that even as a traditional professional like a CPA and a CFO of a large company, I have this faith. It has made me who I am, and I believe it can make many more successful, and I see future opportunities for the next generation. Furthermore, the 2028 halving cycle is still two years and three months away, with a conservative estimate of over 40% CAGR for on-chain assets. This year, market volatility will be high, not only in cryptocurrencies but also in stocks and gold. However, what remains constant is the government's continuous printing of money. Bitcoin, gold, and silver are truly People's Money! Brothers and sisters, have faith! Fasten your seatbelt and enjoy the ride! This assumes low leverage, or even no leverage at all! Wishing you and your family health and safety! Chris Lee
BTC
1.84%
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