I'm increasingly fond of Coinkrama @coinkarma_'s backtesting tool.
Backtesting is essentially a Lite version of quantitative trading. You input the market indicators you value (Figure 1), select the timeframe you want to simulate, and it calculates how actual returns and drawdowns occurred over a past period if you followed that indicator's trading plan (Figure 2).
I set up a bullish backtesting sample. The general idea is: starting in 2024, buy BTC when the market is panicking and the exchange's order book shows opposing trends; close the position when the market is greedy and the exchange's order book shows increasing selling pressure, with a leverage of 3x.
To date, I've backtested 32 trades, with a return of 451.17% (compared to 77% for BTC during the same period), a win rate of 90.63%, and a maximum drawdown of 44%, occurring during the initial surge to 60,000.
Tool: coinkarma.co/zh-cn/join/839058...…
