提阿非罗进阶比特币

提阿非罗进阶比特币

Follow

Posts

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current Recommended Direction - Short BTC is recommended. The downward trend that started at 12.6 has entered segment c, and segment c has been broken by the yellow line segment. It is determined that segment c is complete and a divergence has occurred. The price has not reached the expected level of around 7.8. - The bearish perspective is clear, emphasizing the opening of short positions at the previous blue line position. Although the price subsequently rebounded back to the red line stop-loss zone, it did not negate the bearish trend, suggesting that further declines are expected. - The mention of "not closing out positions to take profits before reaching expectations" and "stopping losses when prices return to the red line" reflects caution about the rebound, suggesting that the rebound is a tentative pullback or "a window to escape during the rebound." 2. Position sizing and risk control...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. The current recommended strategy is primarily short, waiting for a dead cat bounce to short. BTC has been consolidating for 40 days. While the 4-hour chart shows strength above the Proof of Value (PoC), it's more advisable to wait for a rebound before shorting. Monthly and longer timeframes (1M, 2M, 1Y) are all bearish. Short-term opportunities to long on a rebound in early 2026 can be considered. Overall, the outlook is bearish. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: It is suggested that the ideal entry point for adding to short positions be around 108300. This level represents a significant 61.8% retracement, the previous consolidation zone (POC), and an untested SVP, and is considered the last line of defense in a bear market (BE...).

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. The current recommended strategy is primarily short, waiting for a dead cat bounce to short. BTC has been consolidating for 40 days without a key breakout. While the 4-hour chart shows strength above the Proof of Conformity (PoC), the bias is short, waiting for a rebound test. If the price rises to around 108300 in the short term (a significant resistance level, including the 61.8% retracement, the previous consolidation zone PoC, and the untested SVP), this is considered the last line of defense for the bearish outlook and an ideal point to add to short positions. The monthly, 2-month, and yearly charts are all bearish, indicating a clear overall bearish trend. Chasing long opportunities during the rebound in early 2026. 2. Position...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current Recommended Direction - The macro environment is bearish, and only short selling is allowed; long positions are limited to pullbacks after a false breakout failure and are not for trend holding. - There is a short-term intention to tentatively long. If the 1-hour chart closes above 88.2k for two or more consecutive days, consider adding to the long position; otherwise, if it is a false breakout and the CVD weakens, close all long positions. - The price is in a triangle pattern between the daily trend line and the 4-hour upward trend line, indicating a critical juncture. Short-term rebounds are possible, but the overall trend is bearish. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - Long positions were initiated with small initial positions; half of the long positions have already been closed. Further additions will require meeting certain conditions...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current Recommended Direction - DOGE is currently bearish in the macro environment. It failed to break through the trend line and fell back into the trend line. Only short selling is allowed. Long positions are limited to pullbacks after failed structures and are not considered trend positions. - The price is in a critical triangle pattern between the daily trend line and the 4-hour uptrend line. There is a short-term opportunity for a tentative rebound, but if it is a false breakout and falls back and the CVD weakens, all long positions should be closed. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - 88.2k is a minor resistance level. Half of my long positions were closed when the price tested this level during the European session and didn't quickly retreat. If the hourly chart closes above 88.2k for several consecutive hours...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. The current recommended direction is primarily bearish. Long are only recommended for pullbacks after failed price action and should not be held as trend positions. We are currently in a critical juncture between the daily trendline and the 4-hour uptrend line. A failed breakout of the trendline followed by a pullback indicates a bearish macroeconomic environment. 88.2k is a minor resistance level. If the 1-hour chart closes above 88.2k for two consecutive days, consider adding to long positions; otherwise, close all long positions if there is a false breakout followed by a pullback and a weakening CVD. Short-term rebounds are possible, but the overall bias is bearish. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: Light position trading is advised. Half of the long positions have already been reduced (half of long positions closed). Strict market monitoring is required...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. The current recommendation is to long on BTC. Based on the green candle candlestick pattern in the early morning and the fact that it is close to the key resistance level of 91k, this rally is considered a potentially valid breakout rather than a simple "drawing a line" (i.e., failing to break through resistance). The advice is to "go all in on the breakouts," indicating a high probability of testing 94k after breaking through 91k. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: Consider re-entering a long position on the left side, implying a gradual accumulation strategy. The stop-loss point is implicitly placed within the key price level before the breakout (approximately below 86k, within the bullish liquidity zone), emphasizing that "a single, truly effective breakout is enough to recover all previous stop-loss losses"...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current Recommended Direction - Currently, BTC is in a phase b correction, and two possibilities exist: ① From a bullish perspective, if the volume of segment b is greater than that of segment a (segment b volume 4059 < segment a volume 11369, which is not yet met), the market is in a healthy upward trend. It is recommended to wait for a second buy signal or try to long at a point in segment b. ② If a divergence occurs in segment b (i.e., insufficient volume in segment b and price breaks through the downward yellow line), confirming the end of segment b, then short the high point of 94500 as the first selling point. You can short sell at the second selling point and wait for a lower liquidity range before choosing an opportunity to long for the long term. - Currently biased...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current recommendation leans towards short, as the weekly downtrend for SOL remains intact, and a downward breakout is more likely after consolidation. Short-term focus is on 89.5 and 86.5 as trigger points, with a preference for short in line with the trend. While a long position might be considered if the price breaks through key levels (80.6 and 96), the current outlook is more bearish, and 80.6 is not considered a bottom. The macroeconomic environment is unfavorable for risk assets; if BTC weakens, SOL has significant downside potential, with an initial target of double digits. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: It is recommended to hold trend-following positions, but with short positions slightly larger than long positions; this is a challenging operation and requires close monitoring...

提阿非罗进阶比特币

1. Current Recommended Direction - BTC maintains its weekly downtrend and is currently in a consolidation phase. It is more likely to break down in the end, so short is better than long. - In the short term, pay attention to 89.5 and 86.5 as trigger points. There is a possibility of tentatively establishing positions at lower levels, but 80.6 is not considered the bottom and lacks support for large-scale liquidation. - If the price successfully breaks above 96, consider going long, but be cautious overall and wait for the S&P 500 to weaken and create downside potential. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations Short positions are recommended to be long, with heavier short positions preferred. For long positions, remain on the sidelines and wait for a breakout...

Loading..