Crypto Tice

Crypto Tice

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🔴 LIQUIDITY WARNING: #USDT market cap growth just flipped negative and that’s bad. Here’s why: USDT growth means new liquidity entering crypto. When it turns negative, it means capital is leaving, not waiting on the sidelines. No fresh stablecoins means: • Less buying power • Weaker dip support • Rallies get sold into faster Historically, sustained upside in $BTC doesn’t happen when stablecoin supply is contracting. Liquidity is shrinking. And markets don’t pump without fuel.

🚨 BREAKING: U.S. CRYPTO BILL HITS A WALL The White House just drew a hard red line on the crypto market structure bill. 🇺🇸 The Trump administration wants it passed fast but refuses any “ethics provisions” that would restrict the President or his family’s crypto businesses. Yes. Really. What’s happening: - Democrats want bans on top officials trading crypto - White House calls it a political hit job - Senate needs 60 votes - Midterms are approaching fast If no deal is reached by late February, the entire bill could collapse. Regulatory clarity for $BTC & $ETH is now hanging by a thread.

🇺🇸 White House says U.S. gold reserves could be used to purchase Bitcoin. Let that sink in. From gold → Bitcoin From legacy reserves → digital reserves If this even becomes policy discussion, the global reserve playbook just changed.

MACRO UPDATE: Manufacturing is doing exactly what was expected after the bonus depreciation window reopened. Regional PMIs are turning up. Momentum is building. An ISM print above 50 is now in play. When growth signals re-accelerate, risk appetite follows and crypto usually reacts first.

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. Markets don’t wait for headlines they trade liquidity and policy expectations. Position early prices move before narratives.

ON CHAIN SHIFT: Long-term Bitcoin holders have stopped selling. The cohort that usually distributes near highs is now inactive. That removes a major source of overhead supply. When LTH selling dries up while demand remains, it’s typically a bullish setup. Strong hands are holding.

🚨 THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT MACRO EVENT THIS WEEK And almost nobody is watching it. This isn’t about Trump tariffs. It’s not about gold or silver highs. 🇯🇵 The New York Fed is signaling potential intervention in the Japanese yen. That’s huge. Here’s why 👇 - Japanese bond yields keep pushing higher - BOJ remains hawkish - Yet the yen keeps falling That should NOT happen. Rising yields usually strengthen a currency. When they don’t, something is breaking. Markets are losing confidence in Japan’s economy. And now U.S. policymakers are paying attention. NY Fed comments suggest willingness to support the yen. How does that work? - Sell dollars - Buy yen Translation: dollar weakness by policy choice. Markets noticed immediately. The DXY just printed one of its weakest weekly candles in months. This isn’t charity for Japan. A weaker dollar: - Makes U.S. debt easier to manage - Boosts U.S. exports - Shrinks the trade deficit It’s a win-win for governments. But the real winners? Asset holders. When the reserve currency is devalued: - Stocks rise - Real estate rises - Commodities rise We’re already seeing that. Almost everything is near all-time highs. Except one market: Crypto... Crypto is still massively below prior highs and has not fully priced in: - Dollar debasement - Liquidity shifts - Policy-driven currency weakness That’s the setup. When investors rotate out of crowded trades, they look for undervalued assets. Crypto is the cleanest catch-up trade on the board. Pay attention.

KEVIN O’LEARY: The Clarity Act will pass and when it does, Bitcoin reprices. His view: - Regulatory clarity unlocks sidelined capital - Institutions can finally deploy at scale - Demand shocks a fixed supply His target: $200,000 Bitcoin. This isn’t hype. This is capital waiting on a green light. When the rules are signed, money moves.

VALUATION CHECK: At ~$90K, Bitcoin’s Mayer Multiple has been higher 78% of the time historically. That means $BTC is trading cheap relative to its 200-day moving average. Not euphoria. Not excess. Just suppressed valuation the kind that usually precedes opportunity.

🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 The U.S. Senate has released an UPDATED Crypto Market Structure Bill. Key change: Expanded authority for the CFTC over digital assets And this matters a lot. What’s happening: - Jurisdiction lines are being clarified - Fewer gray areas between regulators - A real framework is starting to form A formal meeting is scheduled for January 27, putting U.S. crypto regulation firmly back on the table. This isn’t noise. This is lawmakers moving from debate → structure → execution. Regulatory clarity is getting closer.

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