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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
💰 Bitcoin Forecast for 2026 (By Institution) With Bitcoin in a difficult situation, I've compiled forecasts from various institutions to help you stay on track. ☀️ Key Institutional Forecasts - Most BTC Target Price for 2026: $150,000 - $250,000 - Basis: Expectations of increased institutional investment, ETF inflows, and regulatory clarification ☂️ There are also bearish (pessimistic) scenarios - Conservative Forecast: $70,000 - Worst-Case Scenario: $10,000 - Analysts: Scenario-based forecasts are on the rise, rather than single target price proposals The details are shown in the attached image, but the fact that institutional BTC price targets are concentrated around $150,000 - $250,000 seems positive. Of course, some predict a drop to as low as $10,000, but this is a somewhat extreme view. Going forward, as regulations become clearer, institutional investment begins in earnest, and ETF capital inflows occur, the above forecasts will likely become reality. Some have even predicted a new Bitcoin ATH next year, and it's no exaggeration to say that institutions hold the key to this. Without a clear catalyst, concerns exist about the possibility of a recession or weakening institutional and retail trading volume. Therefore, we will continue to monitor short-term news and trends. (We will also continue to monitor and share on-chain data.) Reference: Original text
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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
💰 Please refer to the following news related to Bitcoin: Whales Maintain Buying, Retailers Extricate - Whales holding over 1,000 BTC have led the recent buying trend. - Whale buying has been in full swing since BTC bottomed out around $80,000 (late November). - Whales are continuing to buy, even though BTC is currently trading below $90,000. - Small investors (retailers) are clearly selling and leaving the market. - Ultra-large whales holding over 10,000 BTC: Aggressive buying in late November → Recent pace has slowed, but no selling. - This contrasts with the massive selloff when BTC surpassed $100,000 in the past. In short, retail investors are being completely wiped out by Bitcoin price volatility, and whales are providing some support, leading to a sideways movement. The recent price movements have been truly unpredictable, so it seems like it was difficult for retail investors to hold on. While the whales' movements are certainly important, the cessation of institutional capital outflows and the influx of new liquidity are paramount. Therefore, we should closely monitor these trends in early 2026. Original article
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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
🔥 2026 Cryptocurrency Market: A Common Outlook from Institutions 1. Key Keywords 1) Bitcoin Re-enters the Rising Phase Some institutions have mentioned the possibility of BTC reaching $140,000 to $300,000+ 2) The Beginning of the AI Agent Era The AI Agent market, where AI automatically performs investment, trading, and financial management, is expanding. 3) Expansion of RWA on-chain integration Treasury bonds, bonds, and financial products are migrating to the blockchain, triggering an influx of institutional funds. 4) Participation in Traditional Finance Active participation by ETFs, banks, and VCs is expected to expand market size. 5) L2 & Solana Competition Ethereum L2 is nearing large-scale completion + Solana usability expected to expand 2. Tone of Perspective by Institution - Optimistic: Galaxy, a16z, ARK, Bitwise → Expected to lead the bull market centered on BTC, AI, and RWA - Neutral/Realistic: Grayscale, Messari, Citi → Mentions of volatility and regulatory risks - Emphasizes Usability: Coinbase, Bankless → Web3 real-world applications and AI financial models Note * Overall Review - Generally positive, bullish outlook prevails - However, regulatory and market volatility risks remain ✏️ Brief Summary The 2026 market will enter a new expansion phase driven by "Bitcoin's resurgence + AI & RWA integration + institutional fund inflow." Reference Source
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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
✏️ 12/29 Daily Briefing (by Coin Boy) Bitcoin is still moving sideways without any significant rebound. Let's take a look at the market. 1. Market Status: Thorough 'Decoupling' - Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at 88K-89K (as of 11:00 AM) - Bitcoin fell 1.16% for the week, plummeting approximately 30% from its October high of $125,000. - Decoupling Intensifies: While traditional assets like the New York Stock Exchange (rising for five consecutive days) and gold and silver (rising over 70% year-on-year) are enjoying a 'Santa Rally', hitting new highs, virtual assets are showing a particularly weak performance. * TMI: Tether price falls to 1,450 won (based on Bithumb) 2. Three Current Negatives 1) Massive ETF Fund Outflow: Approximately $800 million (KRW 1.12 trillion) of net outflows from US spot ETFs during the Christmas week alone. 2) Weakening Investor Sentiment: The Fear and Greed Index is at 24 (extreme fear). Record-breaking investment sentiment freezes 3) Missing buyers: Long-term holders and institutions are continuing to sell to secure liquidity. First, investment sentiment has yet to recover, and weak buying continues. Of course, institutions are likely locking in profits or rebalancing their portfolios ahead of the year-end fiscal year-end closing, while long-term Bitcoin holders are either taking profits or liquidating their holdings in light of tax issues next year. While the short-term outlook is not particularly positive, it's still uncertain how the market will turn around, so it's wise to prepare your own response strategies for various scenarios. The FOMC minutes are scheduled to be released soon, and as this is an event that could create market volatility, I'll briefly review them again. While it may feel frustrating to be left out of the crypto space, I'm confident that a turn will come. While this may require patience, I'm also responding with the belief that a turn will come. I'll continue to research and share my insights on potential opportunities during this time. You have to keep an eye on the market to seize the opportunity...
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코인소년의 크립토 이야기 🙋‍♂️
✏️ A comprehensive overview of the changes coming in 2026 1. Economy/Labor (Era of 10,000 Won per Hour) - Minimum Wage: 10,320 Won per hour (approximately 2.16 million Won per month) - Unemployment Benefits: Daily cap increased to 68,100 Won - 4.5-day workweek: Pilot implementation by public institutions and some companies - K-Pass: Full refund of transportation expenses exceeding the standard amount 2. Housing/Finance (Support for Youth and Working Class) - Youth Future Savings: 3-year maturity, additional government subsidy for monthly savings of 500,000 Won (launched in June) - Monthly Rent Deduction: Up to 10 million Won combined for couples without a home on weekends - Partial reimbursement of travel expenses in declining population areas in the form of local gift certificates - Expansion of Child Allowance: Age limit increased from 8 to 9 - Increased cap on maternity leave benefits and support for fertility testing Expansion - Golden Week: A total of eight Golden Week holidays per year, including a five-day Lunar New Year holiday. 3. Obligations/Safety - Customs Code: Personal Customs Code must be renewed annually. - AI Watermark: Mandatory watermarking of AI products (effective January 22nd) - Childbirth Support: Increased maternity leave pay cap by 100,000 won. - Electric Vehicle Booster: Additional subsidies (approximately 1 million won) for converting internal combustion engine vehicles to electric vehicles after scrapping them. We're already approaching the end of 2025. I thought it would be helpful to briefly review the above information, so I've researched and organized it! 2026 will be a year of rising real wages and further strengthening youth and childcare benefits. Those who purchase directly from overseas should be particularly vigilant about renewing their customs codes, and AI-powered creators should also be vigilant about watermarking requirements.
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