Today's TCG Fear & Greed index is: 77 / Greed
Bullish Notes:
Pokémon TCG Strong momentum continues with no signs of slowdown. Multiple TCGplayer reports show sharp 30-day price climbs on key cards (Destined Rivals set gains). Anniversary anticipation is building. Surging Sparks waves, Charizard ex spikes, and Pikachu EX tournament dominance drive hype. Restocks (Prismatic Evolutions bundles at Sam's, Walmart, Amazon) and YouTube updates like "State of Pokemon Investing February 2026 - No Slowdown In Sight" reinforce sustained demand. Positive X chatter on drops and pulls adds fuel.
Magic: The Gathering Pro Tour effects and banlist/unban ripples create massive spikes (Harvester of Misery +360%, Saproling Burst, Biorhythm/Lutri surges post-Commander B&R, Mudslide rediscovery +369%). High-volume movers and hot/cold lists show strong secondary market action. Classic event-driven greed.
One Piece TCG Remains on fire with "exploding" language, triple-digit gains on manga arts and leader cards, competitive earnings records (Luffy PSA 10 highs), and sustained sealed/box momentum (OP13/OP14 still holding despite early stabilization signals). Regional/Treasure Cup prizing and Asian English drops fly off shelves.
Yu-Gi-Oh! TCG February 2 banlist shake-up (big changes like Herald of the Arc Light forbidden, Barrier Statue hits) creates rotation opportunities, with unbans pumping certain archetypes. 300th YCS hype (Guadalajara/Richmond events) and weekly price shifts (Stake Your Soul +$13 tins) keep tournament fire alive.
Broader Market Prereleases and events across titles (Lorcana Winterspell Feb 13-20, Gundam/Union Arena locals/online battles) and cross-TCG positivity (Battle Spirits calls as next potential breakout) support upward rotation. High-end sales (million-dollar TCG cards) and collector demand remain robust.
Bearish / Caution Notes
One Piece TCG Early signs of cooling in OP13/OP14 (prices dropping/stabilizing post-surge), presale inflation warnings, and some dump/crash chatter in groups. Watch for post-hype normalization.
Pokémon TCG Scattered fatigue mentions (scalper backlash, finance bro saturation) and potential correction risks if demand finally eases (though current signals say no).
Yu-Gi-Oh! TCG Banlist hits certain decks hard (Malefics RIP/drops), creating mixed price action. Some archetypes suffer while others benefit.
Lorcana Winterspell prerelease hype is solid, but foil market pressure and post-boom plateau persist. Scalper fatigue noted.
Smaller Titles (Union Arena/Gundam) Steady niche events and restocks, but lower visibility and explosiveness compared to flagships. Growth but not yet momentum drivers.
Key Events to Watch
This Weekend Lorcana Winterspell prerelease (Feb 13), potential YCS 300 fallout/results, ongoing locals/shop battles (Union Arena/Gundam).
Near-Term Pokémon EUIC/Regionals meta shifts, MTG Standard/Pro Tour ripples, One Piece Finals/OP14 stabilization monitoring.
Longer-Term Pokémon 30th anniversary buildup, new set rotations, and any macro collectibles sentiment shifts (crypto/stock parallels mentioned in chatter).
Overall Vibe: Greed leaning bullish with event rotation and flagship spikes dominating, but pockets of stabilization (especially newer/hyped products) suggest rotation risks. Momentum favors active plays. Watch YCS/Lorcana prerelease outcomes for next directional move.
