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<h3>Fireline Report</h3>
<p>It is suspected that Trump’s insider address “entered and exited seven times”, with precise operations in both long and short directions, with cumulative profits exceeding 100 million US dollars. The latest increase in short positions has attracted close attention from the market.</p>
<h3>Trading Guide</h3>
<p>Event-driven, follow the signal of this address in the short term, pay attention to the key support level of BTC after it increases its short position. If a large amount of reverse liquidation occurs, the signal will be invalid, so be wary of arbitrage risks.</p>
<p style="margin-top: 20px; text-align: left; opacity: 0.4; padding: 0 42px"><small>Updated at 10-23 04:40</small><br><small>AI-generated summary, not investment advice</small></p></div>

<h1>Unveiling Trump&#39;s &quot;Inside Story&quot;: The Billion-Dollar Profit Behind the Seven-In, Seven-Out Trading Technique</h1><h2> Key Points</h2><p> On October 10, 2025, three mysterious wallet addresses initiated a massive short approximately 30 minutes before Trump announced 100% tariffs on China. The subsequent market crash triggered a $19 billion liquidation, netting these addresses $160-200 million in profits. One of these addresses subsequently employed a &quot;seven in, seven out&quot; strategy, winning all seven trades and generating $10.02 million in profits. Although the individuals involved denied insider trading, their precise timing and massive profits have sparked widespread skepticism.</p><h2> Core Analysis</h2><h3> Key Address Matrix</h3><table><thead><tr><th> Short address</th><th> Full address</th><th> Role Positioning</th><th> Core Profit</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> 0xb317...83ae</td><td> 0xb317D2BC2D3d2Df5Fa441B5bAE0AB9d8b07283ae</td><td> Main address, marked by Arkham as &quot;Trump Insider Whale&quot;</td><td> $86 million+</td></tr><tr><td> 0x2eA...23f4</td><td> 0x2ea18c23f72a4b6172c55b411823cdc5335923f4</td><td> Associated address, ETH short expert</td><td> US$72.32 million</td></tr><tr><td> 0xc2A...E5f2</td><td> 0xc2a30212a8DdAc9e123944d6e29FADdCe994E5f2</td><td> Trading robot-style operation, &quot;seven in and seven out&quot; strategy executor</td><td> US$10.02 million</td></tr></tbody></table><p> These addresses form a correlation matrix through a common source of funds ( <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alleged-trump-insider-whale-denies-211326404.html">Crypto.com</a> hot wallet) and the same Hyperliquid bridge mode.</p><h3> October 10th Shocking Blow</h3><p> <strong>Timeline analysis</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>14:00 UTC</strong> : Large-scale USDC inflows into Hyperliquid</li><li> <strong>2:30 PM UTC</strong> : Opened a $1.1 billion BTC/ETH short position (10x leverage)</li><li> <strong>14:57 UTC</strong> : Trump issues tariff announcement</li><li> <strong>15:20 UTC</strong> : Market triggers $19 billion in liquidation event</li></ul><p> <strong>Short details</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>BTC Position</strong> : 6,189 BTC, approximately $450 million in notional value</li><li> <strong>ETH position</strong> : 81,203 ETH, quite large</li><li> <strong>Leverage ratio</strong> : 10-12 times, greatly magnifying profits</li><li> <strong>Liquidation price</strong> : BTC approximately $130,810, ETH approximately $4,589</li></ul><p> The market plummeted from BTC $122,500 to $104,600 (a 15% drop), <a href="https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/traders-cry-insider-trading-after-trumps-tariff-threat-triggers-crypto-crash-as-anonymous-investor-made-millions-in-30-minutes/articleshow/124527711.cms">and</a> ETH fell from $4,200 to $3,436 (a 20% drop).</p><h3> Analysis of the &quot;Seven In and Seven Out&quot; Strategy</h3><p> The 0xc2A address has been implementing a unique “seven in, seven out” strategy since October 14th:</p><table><thead><tr><th> Transaction number</th><th> direction</th><th> Profit</th><th> Win rate</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> 1-7</td><td> Alternating between long and short</td><td> Total US$10.02 million</td><td> 100%</td></tr></tbody></table><p> This strategy exploits market volatility after a crash and uses a high-frequency trading model of fast in and out (hours to days) to continuously profit on BTC/ETH perpetual contracts. On-chain data shows that 10 million USDC was bridged as initial capital on October 15. <a href="https://cryptoslate.com/the-big-bitcoin-short-who-shorted-btc-before-trumps-tariff-post-to-bank-200-million/">Cryptoslate</a></p><h2> On-chain data analysis</h2><h3> Tracking capital flows</h3><p> <strong>Main transaction records</strong> (UTC time):</p><table><thead><tr><th> Date and Time</th><th> address</th><th> Amount</th><th> type</th><th> Remark</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> October 19, 18:59</td><td> 0xb317</td><td> -30 million USDC</td><td> Bridge Deposit</td><td> A new round of short funds after the plunge</td></tr><tr><td> October 15, 08:00</td><td> 0xc2a</td><td> -10 million USDC</td><td> Bridge Deposit</td><td> &quot;Seven Transactions&quot; series launched</td></tr><tr><td> October 14, 22:58</td><td> 0xc2a</td><td> +10 million USDC</td><td> CEX Inflow</td><td> From the Crypto.com hot wallet</td></tr></tbody></table><p> <strong>Profitability Verification</strong> :</p><ul><li> Total USDC bridged is approximately $50.6 million (deposited)</li><li> CEX inflows of approximately $51.7 million</li><li> Net inflow of approximately $1.1 million (underestimates actual profit due to withdrawals to new wallets)</li><li> Net USDC on-chain growth of approximately $160 million, consistent with reported profits</li></ul><h3> Position Dynamics</h3><p> <strong>Follow-up actions</strong> :</p><ul><li> October 20: 3,003 BTC (worth $338 million) deposited to the exchange</li><li> October 22: $234 million in new BTC short positions opened</li><li> Unrealized profit: approximately US$6.15 million (as of reporting time)</li></ul><p> The current BTC open interest totals $53.7 billion, with a 24-hour change of -1.05%. <reference tool_id="call_58039316" category="heatmap" project="BTC" description="BTC OI USD and 24h change percent by exchange at 2025-10-22 10:01 UTC"/></p><h2> Social media response analysis</h2><h3> Community doubts</h3><p> The crypto community reacted strongly to this incident, with the main focus being on:</p><p> <strong>Timing questioned</strong> : Many analysts pointed out that it is extremely unlikely to open such a large short position 30 minutes before Trump <a href="https://x.com/shanaka86/status/1977027044132504014">&#39;s</a> announcement.</p><p> <strong>Fairness concerns</strong> : Community calls for &quot;proof of market fairness,&quot; requiring subpoenas for <a href="https://x.com/YourAnonCentral/status/1977401767056035868">exchange</a> logs.</p><h3> Response from the parties</h3><p> <strong>Identity revealed</strong> : Binance founder CZ confirmed through on-chain analysis that the whale is former <a href="https://x.com/coinbureau/status/1977673163875164298">BitForex</a> CEO Garrett Jin.</p><p> <strong>Denials</strong> : Jin has publicly denied any connection to the Trump family or insider information, claiming it was an independent trading strategy based <a href="https://x.com/seth_fin/status/1977683341030666302">on</a> macroeconomic judgment.</p><p> <strong>Continued operation</strong> : Despite facing doubts, Jin subsequently increased short short position to $340 <a href="https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/crypto-whale-linked-to-trump-slams-insider-rumors-then-opens-340-million-bitcoin-short/articleshow/124551067.cms">million</a> , further sparking controversy.</p><h2> Technical analysis perspective</h2><h3> Market structure analysis</h3><p> <strong>Market status before the crash</strong> :</p><ul><li> BTC RSI 60.07 (overbought warning)</li><li> Holdings reached $70 billion (up 10% from the previous week)</li><li> Funding rate 0.35%-1% (long positions are overcrowded)</li></ul><p> <strong>Technical signal convergence</strong> :</p><ul><li> Bollinger Bands expanded to 3 standard deviations</li><li> MACD histogram turns negative</li><li> RSI plummeted from 60 to 28 (severely oversold)</li></ul><p> <strong>Liquidation Waterfall</strong> :</p><ul><li> Long liquidations concentrated in the $110,000-105,000 range</li><li> $4 billion in long positions were liquidated below $3,800 on ETH</li><li> Total liquidation volume was $19 billion, with 85% of it being long positions.</li></ul><h3> Risk-return analysis</h3><table><thead><tr><th> variety</th><th> Entry price</th><th> Target Price</th><th> Stop Loss Price</th><th> Risk-return ratio</th><th> Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> BTC short</td><td> $118,000</td><td> $105,000</td><td> $129,800</td><td> 1.10</td><td> medium</td></tr><tr><td> ETH short</td><td> $4,200</td><td> $3,600</td><td> $4,620</td><td> 1.43</td><td> good</td></tr></tbody></table><p> High leverage (10x) has a double-edged sword effect in volatile markets: there is no perfect timing, and a 5% rebound can lead to liquidation.</p><h2> Regulatory and compliance considerations</h2><h3> Legal gray area</h3><p> <strong>Regulatory gaps</strong> :</p><ul><li> DeFi perpetual contracts lack CFTC enforcement</li><li> Anonymity of decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid</li><li> The regulatory difficulties of cross-chain bridge transactions</li></ul><p> <strong>Evaluation of Insider Trading Evidence</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>Supporting arguments</strong> : 30-minute precise timing and huge profit scale</li><li> <strong>Counterargument</strong> : No direct evidence of Trump connection, trader has a good track record</li><li> <strong>Probability assessment</strong> : Based on timing analysis, the probability of coincidence is extremely low</li></ul><h3> Policy impact analysis</h3><p> The Trump administration faces scrutiny over the STOCK Act, raising the possibility that family members may be trading based on policy information. The non-regulated nature of cryptocurrencies makes such manipulation possible, but the direct impact of tariffs on Chinese mining hardware will undoubtedly impact BTC/ETH prices.</p><h2> in conclusion</h2><p> This incident highlights the vulnerability of the crypto derivatives market to political shocks and the potentially enormous profit opportunities presented by information asymmetry. Although the parties involved deny insider trading, the precise timing of the 30-minute trade and the resulting profit of $160-200 million exceeded market expectations. The successful execution of the &quot;seven in, seven out&quot; strategy further demonstrates the profitability of professional traders in a highly volatile environment.</p><p> Regardless of whether insider information was involved, this incident presents new challenges for regulatory improvement and investor protection in the crypto market. As traditional financial regulatory frameworks expand into the digital asset sector, the space for similar gray areas may gradually shrink.</p>
