#Binance’s judicial turmoil triggered FUD, and the community once again set off a coin withdrawal movement#
On December 12, according to Reuters citing sources, prosecutors of the U.S. Department of Justice had disagreements over whether to file criminal charges against Binance, including money laundering. Some prosecutors believed that they had obtained enough evidence to sue CZ Binance executives, including the case, filed criminal charges; some prosecutors said time was needed to review more evidence. As soon as the news came out, FUD was triggered, and the outflow of encrypted assets on Binance accelerated, and the net outflow in 24 hours exceeded 1.6 billion US dollars.
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[2/3] 3. Bloomberg ETF Analyst: Spot ETFs have not "significantly reduced volatility," and the selling pressure from OG's high-level profit-taking is underestimated. Eric Balchunas stated that the market underestimated the amplifying effect of early holders' concentrated selling at high levels; Bitcoin's approximately 450% increase over two years also signifies a high volatility risk. (PANews | TechFlow | Odaily) 4. Liquidity pressure: Crypto funds saw net outflows of approximately $1.5 billion this week, the largest since November. According to data from the Kobeissi Letter, funds have been withdrawn for the second consecutive week, marking the fifth net outflow in the past seven weeks. (Kobeissi Letter) 5. On-chain/Sentiment Indicators: BTC social sentiment hit a near 4-year low; price near the 200-week moving average of approximately $58,000. Santiment data shows a significant weakening of sentiment; from a technical perspective, the area around the 200-week moving average has historically served as a reference point for bear market bottoms/accumulation zones. (BlockBeats | PANews) ━━ Project Updates ━━ 1. Bitfarms plans to relocate to the United States and change its name to Keel Infrastructure. The company plans to become a dual-listed company under the name "KEEL" and will move its registered office from Canada to the United States and change its name. A special shareholders' meeting is scheduled to be held on March 20, 2026, pending approval from shareholders, the stock exchange and the court. After completion, it plans to trade on Nasdaq and the Toronto Stock Exchange under the name "KEEL". (TechFlow | PANews) 2. ENS: ENS v2 will only be deployed on Ethereum L1, and Namechain L2 development will be discontinued. The ENS COO stated that discontinuing Namechain L2 will not affect v2 functionality and roadmap; more chains will still be supported in the future, and it may be possible to allow .eth registration on any EVM chain. (PANews) 3. ERC-8004 Progress: Avalanche C-Chain supports the standard; Virtuals claims that ACP "graduation agents" will automatically register and be scored on the blockchain. Avalanche announced that C-Chain supports ERC-8004 for AI agents with on-chain identity and transferable reputation; Virtuals Protocol stated that its AI agents that have graduated on ACP will automatically register in ERC-8004, and new evaluations and scores will be automatically added to the chain and bound to the identity. (BlockBeats | Foresight News | BlockBeats | Foresight News) 4. EY: Wallets will become a key entry point for next-generation financial services; banks "must have wallets." EY believes that wallets are evolving from crypto tools into gateways to financial services, and the core position of traditional bank accounts may be weakened by "smart wallets". (CoinDesk | BlockBeats | PANews) ━━ Other ━━ 1. Fund flows related to the “BTC OG/1011 whale” have attracted attention: On-chain monitoring shows signs of large deposits to Binance and withdrawals of stablecoins. It is reported that this cluster address deposited about 5,000 BTC to Binance within a few hours, then withdrew about 55 million USDC, and then deposited about 4,200 BTC. Other monitoring shows that it transferred about 20,000 ETH and 69.08 million USDT in about 12 hours, and there was on-chain behavior of “withdrawing 55,000 ETH from Aave and then partially depositing it to the exchange”. The market interprets this as suspected reduction of holdings/exchange for stablecoins. (Foresight News | BlockBeats | PANews | TechFlow | BlockBeats) 2. Aave Funding: The ETH borrowing APR surged from 2.13% to 7.35% at one point, before falling back to approximately 5.33%. Data shows that the ETH supply on Aave is approximately 3.09 million (accounting for about 81% of the hard cap), of which about 2.92 million have been lent out, with a borrowing utilization rate of about 81%. Interest rate fluctuations reflect the tightening of short-term liquidity. (Foresight News | PANews | Odaily) 3. Increased volatility in derivatives: Approximately $605 million in positions were liquidated across the network in 24 hours, with short positions dominating. Statistics show that long positions totaled approximately $228 million and short positions totaled approximately $377 million. The largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid's BTC-USD pair, amounting to approximately $21.3 million. (TechFlow) 4. Prediction Markets and Sports Compliance Controversy: Kalshi claims Giannis Antetokounmpo's stake is less than 1%, NBA rules remain unclear. Kalshi confirmed that Giannis Antetokounmpo's shareholding is less than 1% (the specific amount was not disclosed); media reports indicate that the NBA has not yet provided clear guidelines for on-chain prediction/betting platforms, with related betting volume estimated at approximately $23.31 million.
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[2/3] (TechFlow | TechFlow | Foresight News | TechFlow TechFlow | Cointelegraph) Market Analysis 1. BTC extreme volatility: After rebounding from around $60,000 to $71,751, it fell back, with short sellers liquidating over $487 million in the last 24 hours. BTC rebounded strongly from around $60,000 to $71,751 (a maximum rebound of approximately +19.6%) before falling back to around $70,000; ETH briefly dipped below $2,000 before rebounding above $2,100. Data shows that short covering exceeded $487 million in the past 24 hours. (BlockBeats | TechFlow TechFlow | Foresight News | PANews) 2. The Fear & Greed Index fell to 6 (extreme fear), a historically rare low. The crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to 6 (previous value 9), indicating "extreme fear"; the report pointed out that such a low level is rare in history. (BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow TechFlow) 3. Arthur Hayes: The plunge may be related to structured products and hedging around IBIT; IBIT options trading hit a record high. Arthur Hayes believes this week's BTC crash "may" be related to traders/market makers' involvement with BlackRock's IBIT-related structured products and hedging; a related report mentioned that IBIT options saw a record 2.33 million contracts traded on the day of the crash. (BlockBeats | CoinDesk | X) 4. VanEck & Glassnode: Leverage reduction and increased on-chain losses, but not yet reaching the on-chain threshold of "extreme panic". VanEck points out that this round of sell-off may not have a single trigger, with futures open interest falling from a peak of about $90 billion to about $49 billion; Glassnode believes that on-chain behavior is characterized by a "deep bear" but without extreme panic, with the "market loss level" around $60,000 being about 24%. (BlockBeats) ━━ Project Updates ━━ 1. Coinbase adds Superform (UP) to its listing roadmap. Coinbase has added Superform (UP) to its listing roadmap, with the specific listing date to be announced later once certain conditions are met. (BlockBeats | Foresight News) 2. Coinbase announced support for the Sui token standard and explored custody and treasury management cooperation with Sui. Coinbase will provide token standard support for Sui assets; Coinbase Institutional and Sui are further discussing cooperation on custody and treasury management services. (Foresight News) 3. Aave Founder | _2024111120230_ | Sold approximately 6,204 ETH and increased his AAVE holdings in the past 24 hours. On-chain monitoring shows that it sold approximately 6,204 ETH in 24 hours (at an average price of approximately $1,916) and used some of the funds to buy AAVE. (BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow) 4. Vitalik donated to Shielded Labs to support the development of Zcash's "Crosslink" security upgrade. The funds will be used to advance the Zcash consensus security upgrade Crosslink (introducing a parallel finality layer to enhance the PoW chain's resistance to reorganization/rollback), prototype engineering, and incentivized testnets. (Foresight News) 5. Project teams adjust their schedules: INFINIT postpones unlocking; Cap delays ICO; Lorenzo launches new yield products and incentive systems. INFINIT has postponed the initial investor unlock from February 7, 2026 to May 7, 2026, and extended the lock-up period for core contributors; Cap announced that it has postponed its Uniswap ICO originally scheduled for February 9 due to market conditions; Lorenzo Protocol plans to launch BNB+ OTF, introduce Lorenzo Earn, and launch a PoC community incentive system. (Foresight News | Foresight News | Odaily | TechFlow | Foresight News) ━━ Other ━━ 1. Binance discloses its 2025 law enforcement assistance: seizure of approximately $131 million in illicit assets and response to 71,000+ requests. Binance stated that in 2025, it assisted global law enforcement agencies in seizing approximately $131 million in illicit assets and responded to 71,000+ law enforcement requests. (Foresight News) 2. Trump signed an executive order authorizing tariffs on Iranian goods (not yet imposed immediately), and stated that he will continue consultations with Iran.
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[2/3] (PANews | BlockBeats | Foresight News | Odaily) 2. Derivatives liquidations intensify: Short-term liquidations across the entire network amounted to approximately $167-178 million, with BTC experiencing a sharp fluctuation of approximately $79.85 million, triggering a concentrated clearing of leveraged funds and further amplifying the short-term price impact. (Odaily | Cointelegraph) 3. "Surrender-style selling" and sentiment indicators point to bottom signals: Bitwise says "the negative news may have already been priced in," and CoinDesk points to multiple extreme indicators hitting records. Bitwise believes that "extreme anxiety" is common near a stage bottom, when selling pressure is nearing exhaustion; CoinDesk says that several capitulation indicators have reached levels that "only appear at the bottom of major cycles". (CoinDesk | The Block | CoinDesk) 4. Funding rates remain bearish: After BTC rebounded from 60,000 to nearly 70,000, most CEX/DEX funding rates still show a bearish bias. Data cited by Coinglass shows that despite a significant price rebound, leveraged pricing remains bearish, reflecting that market risk appetite has not yet fully recovered. (BlockBeats) 5. On-chain/Exchange Fund Flows: Trend Research reported that Binance transferred a total of approximately 35,000 ETH in two separate transactions; the main liquidation point has shifted below $1,500, with monitoring indicating that 15,000 ETH and 20,000 ETH were transferred in successively; and several potential liquidation concentration zones were identified, showing that the risk zone below ETH is more concentrated. (BlockBeats | BlockBeats | Odaily) 6. "Withdraw on dips" signal: Two long-dormant addresses withdrew a total of 11,892 ETH (approximately $22.99 million) from Binance. Monitoring shows that 10,000 ETH were withdrawn at 0x55C1 and 1,892 ETH were withdrawn at 0x1342, which may reflect that some funds were used for spot allocation/transfer custody during the drawdown. (BlockBeats | Odaily) 7. Crypto-related US stocks rallied in tandem: MSTR surged over 20% intraday, with institutions giving a target price as high as $440. Amid the rebound in risk assets, Strategy (MSTR) saw its gains widen; reports also mentioned that TD Cowen gave a target price as high as $440. (Odaily | CoinGape) 8. CryptoRank: The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to extremely low levels, similar to the period of the FTX crash. This sentiment indicator has entered an extreme range, which usually corresponds to both high volatility and the risk of a turning point. (CryptoRank) ━━ Project Updates ━━ 1. ENS adjusts its scaling path: ENSv2 will only be deployed on the Ethereum mainnet, and the self-developed L2 "Namechain" will be discontinued. ENS reports that Ethereum L1 scaling is faster than expected, and registration costs have decreased by 99% over the past year following the increase in the gas cap, with the average registration fee falling below $0.05; the ENS App/Explorer has released a public alpha. (ENS | The Block | BlockBeats) 2. Coinbase listing roadmap update: Superform (UP) has been added to the asset listing roadmap. Whether trading will be available depends on the availability of market-making support and the readiness of technical/compliance infrastructure. (Coinbase) 3. Vitalik donated to Shielded Labs to support Zcash's proposed consensus upgrade to Crosslink. Crosslink plans to add a parallel "finality layer" on top of PoW to reduce restructuring/rollback risks and enhance settlement protection for confirmed transactions. (Shielded Labs | BlockBeats) 4. Ondo: Plans to rebuild the "Prime Brokerage" on-chain, with perpetual contracts considered as the first step. Ondo considers institutional-grade on-chain services as a long-term direction, and perps is seen as the entry point and product implementation path. (CoinDesk) 5. MegaETH: Proposes to use USDM stablecoin revenue to fund the repurchase of MEGA tokens, proposing a plan to support the repurchase mechanism with stablecoin business/revenue.
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[2/3] (Reuters | PANews) Market Analysis 1. BTC and ETH rebounded from the sharp drop: BTC returned to the $67,000-$69,000 range, and ETH returned to around $2,000. Multiple platform quotes show that BTC rebounded and once stood above/broke through $69,000, while ETH returned to about $1,999-$2,002. The previous intraday low and the rebound range were inconsistent, indicating that volatility is still high. (CoinDesk | TechFlow | Odaily) 2. Deleveraging continues: The scale of margin calls across the network varies, but all are at historically high levels. CoinGlass statistics show that approximately $2.242 billion in liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours; CoinAnk statistics show approximately $1.662 billion. The difference stems from the exchange sample and statistical methods used. (TechFlow | PANews) 3. Trend Research is massively selling/transferring ETH to reduce leverage and repay debts. On-chain monitoring points to continuous selling pressure. Multiple monitoring sources indicate that it is related to leveraged positions on Aave. In the past few hours/15 hours, there have been multiple concentrated transfers to Binance (such as 20,000 ETH, 30,000 ETH, etc.), and there are different estimates that "more than 410,000 ETH have been sold since February 1, with a total loss of about $700 million". Overall, it points to the fact that institutional deleveraging is still underway. (TechFlow | BlockBeats | PANews) 4. On-chain Fund Flows: BlackRock and Grayscale-related addresses transferred BTC/ETH to Coinbase Prime, sparking discussions about "redemption/rebalancing or potential selling pressure." Monitoring shows that BlackRock-related addresses deposited approximately 3,948 BTC and 5,734 ETH into Coinbase; Grayscale also saw approximately 1,364 BTC transferred into Coinbase Prime. These transfers need to be assessed in conjunction with ETF redemption and market-making processes. (TechFlow | Odaily) 5. Indicators and Institutional Views: Glassnode and CryptoQuant have indicated that the market is currently in a "period of extreme/near the end of a bear market," but a rebound still needs time to be confirmed. Glassnode stated that BTC's "Yardstick" has hit an all-time low, which historically often corresponds to a narrowing of downside potential. CryptoQuant mentioned that the loss-making BTC supply is close to the level at the end of the last bear market, and some opinions suggest that the lack of a substantial rebound could trigger a chain reaction of forced selling. (BlockBeats | BlockBeats | PANews) 6. Macroeconomic and Risk Appetite: Michigan consumer confidence rebounded and inflation expectations declined; volatility in safe-haven assets (gold/silver) intensified. The University of Michigan's preliminary February consumer confidence reading was 57.3, higher than expected; the preliminary 1-year inflation expectation reading was 3.5%, lower than expected; during the same period, gold rose to nearly $4,960/ounce, and silver also experienced significant fluctuations, indicating cross-asset deleveraging and linkage risks. (TechFlow | Odaily | PANews) ━━ Project Updates ━━ 1. ENS halts proprietary L2 “Namechain” development: ENSv2 will be directly deployed on the Ethereum mainnet. ENS stated that the Fusaka upgrade is expected to significantly reduce registration costs after increasing the gas limit, and has opened a public alpha test for the new version of the ENS App/Explorer. (Foresight News) 2. Ronin: Saigon testnet has completed its migration to Ethereum, and the mainnet is planned to be upgraded to Ethereum L2 in the first half of 2026. The upgrade window points to Q1–Q2 of 2026, reflecting the convergence of the game chain towards the Ethereum Rollup route. (BlockBeats | Foresight News) 3. Polymarket's parent company has applied for the "POLY/$POLY" trademark. Executives have confirmed plans to issue native tokens and airdrop the trademarks to cover financial and crypto market software, tokens, and platform services. The timeline for the tokens has not yet been disclosed. (The Block | Odaily) 4. Relay Protocol completes $17 million Series B funding round: plans to launch "instant cross-chain settlement" Relay Chain. Archetype and USV led the investment, focusing on cross-chain settlement infrastructure. (PANews) 5. Strategy discloses it will launch a "Bitcoin security plan" to address quantum uncertainty. Saylor stated that it will collaborate with the cybersecurity/cryptography/Bitcoin security community to advance the project, viewing it as a long-term engineering challenge rather than an immediate threat. (CoinDesk | TechFlow) 6. Ripple releases XRPL institutional-grade DeFi blueprint: positioned as "regulated real-world finance" It emphasizes recent upgrades and upcoming features to promote the adaptation of XRPL in institutional scenarios and compliant financial infrastructure.
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[1/3] [Crypto/TradFi Merge Report] 2026-02-07 00:00 (Beijing Time) ━━ Important News ━━ 1. Eight Chinese government departments issued document No. 42 of 2026: upgrading the supervision of virtual currencies and RWA tokenization, and restricting offshore RMB stablecoins. The central bank and other eight departments reiterated that virtual currency-related businesses are illegal financial activities in China; financial/payment institutions are prohibited from providing services such as account opening, fund transfer, and clearing and settlement, and Internet companies are prohibited from providing display, marketing and traffic guidance; it is prohibited to issue RMB-linked stablecoins overseas without approval, and conducting RWA tokenization issuance, trading and intermediary/technical services without consent is suspected of being illegal financial activities (except for specific financial infrastructures and those approved by the competent authorities in accordance with laws and regulations), and emphasized the continued crackdown on "mining" and related crimes. (People's Bank of China | The Block | BlockBeats | PANews | TechFlow TechFlow) 2. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued regulatory guidelines on "Offshore Issuance of ABS Tokens Based on Domestic Assets": The guidelines clarify the definition, filing, and cross-border compliance requirements, and include "tokenized equity certificates issued overseas using DLT and supported by domestic asset/rights cash flow" in the framework. The guidelines require domestic entities that actually control the underlying assets to file with the CSRC and submit a complete set of documents for the overseas issuance. At the same time, they must meet compliance procedures for cross-border investment, foreign exchange, network and data security, and must not harm national interests or public interests. (BlockBeats | PANews | Foresight News | TechFlow) 3. US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Pushing for the signing of the Crypto Market Structure Act into law is "crucial," saying that the digital asset revolution has arrived and sending a clearer policy signal, emphasizing the importance of market structure legislation; he also mentioned his concern about Hong Kong's "Financial Innovation Sandbox" digital asset mechanism, and noted that market discussions about "gold-anchored digital asset challengers" still lack solid evidence and are mostly at the level of speculation and policy discussion. (BlockBeats | PANews | Odaily | BlockBeats | TechFlow) 4. Accelerated European Regulation and Currency Competition: The EU plans to ban Russian CBDCs, and the ECB urges emergency action in five areas including a "digital euro." EU official Karas stated that Russia's central bank digital currency will be banned; the ECB sent a "checklist" to EU leaders, calling for collective action in key areas, including a digital euro; there are also reports that Eurozone finance ministers will discuss issuing a "euro-denominated stablecoin" and more joint EU debt to enhance the euro's status. (TechFlow | PANews | PANews | BlockBeats) 5. The U.S. Marshals Service's federal crypto wallet, which was stolen, was found to contain approximately $24.9 million. On-chain investigators say the suspect is linked to CMDSS, a company that previously had contracts with the Marshals Service, raising concerns about the security of government-managed and maintained crypto wallets. (TechFlow) 6. Bithumb admits to internal error in reward distribution: "Abnormal amount" of BTC was distributed to some users, causing a short-term sharp fluctuation in the price on the platform. The platform claims that it returned to normal within 5 minutes, has restricted the relevant accounts, and emphasizes that it was not a hacker attack/there were no security vulnerabilities and no loss of customer assets. There were rumors in the market that "2,000 Korean won was mistakenly distributed as 2,000 BTC", but the official statement is that an "abnormal amount" was distributed. (Bithumb Announcement | The Block | PANews) 7. Binance's SAFU Fund used approximately $250 million worth of stablecoins to purchase 3,600 BTC and released its February Proof of Reserves. Binance stated that after the SAFU Fund completed its purchase, the relevant addresses held 6,230 BTC. The February Proof of Reserves (PoR) showed BTC at 100.07%, USDT at 103.76%, ETH at 100.02%, and BNB at 101.26%, and disclosed the monthly changes in user assets. (Binance | BlockBeats) 8. Tether makes a strategic investment in t-0 Network: providing near-instant cross-border payments to licensed institutions using USDT as the settlement layer. t-0 Network claims to use global ledger matching and net settlement to reduce costs, foreign exchange exposure and capital occupation, and strengthen USDT's penetration in institutional payment scenarios. (Tether | PANews | TechFlow) 9. Russia's Sberbank plans to launch "crypto asset-backed loans" for businesses, saying it has completed a pilot program with mining companies. Reuters reports that it plans to launch loan products with crypto assets as collateral for corporate clients and will cooperate with the Russian Central Bank to develop regulatory rules; Russia plans to improve its legislative framework by July 1, 2026.
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