I'm a proponent of Bitcoin power law models. It is arguably the only methodology that has remained valid through multiple cycles without breaking its bands.
Currently, R^2 sits at 0.952 which represents the percentage of Bitcoin's historical price variance that is explained by the model.
​Currently, the model indicates relatively restricted room for downside but huge room for future expansion. I'll let data guys like @sminston_with jump in below and give us the latest exact numbers.

Did you know about Bitcoin's 50/10 Rule? 🧐
- - -
The rule: A 1.5x increase in Bitcoin's age (50%) corresponds to a 10x increase in price.
The more you know 🌈 The power law is awesome. Share with friends, because not only is it true: it's powerfully bullish, it's fun, and it's

Sminston With 

Twitter

我支持比特币幂律模型。可以说，它是唯一一种在多个周期中始终有效且未突破其预测区间的模型。

目前，R² 值为 0.952，代表该模型能够解释比特币历史价格波动的百分比。

目前，该模型显示比特币的下跌空间相对有限，但未来上涨空间巨大。我会让像 @sminston_with 这样的数据分析专家在下方提供最新的具体数据。

2026 年 2 月，稳定币月交易量达到 7.2 万亿镁，次超越了自动清算系统 (ACH) 网络的 6.8 万亿镁。
ACH是一种对外支付系统……

稳定币的资金量流动量超过了美国核心金融体系。

加密货币市场正处于十字路口，准备迎接未来的发展。鉴于金融环境持续动荡，比特币（$ BTC）已达到至关重要的阶段……

比特币价格停滞预示着突破 71,000 美元阻力位后波动性将大幅扩大

特朗普总统在2024年4月1日关于伊朗冲突的讲话中预测，未来两到三周将持续遭受猛烈的军事空袭，这将阻碍美国股市的链复苏……

本周，特朗普关于伊朗的讲话对三只美国股票造成了严重影响。

And btw, there are no guarantees that any model will continue to work over the longer term, but it's been extremely solid so far.

顺便说一句，任何模型都不能保证长期有效，但到目前为止，它的表现非常稳定。