Elon’s right.
This decade is going to be defined by who owns the long tail.
The hard part is not getting autonomous vehicles to “sort of work.”
It’s grinding through the long tails and edge cases until the system is meaningfully safer than humans. That takes years.
Reasoning

You’re right.
The actual time from when FSD sort of works to where it is much safer than a human is several years.
The legacy car companies won’t design the cameras and AI computers into their cars at scale until several years after that.
So this is maybe a competitive

Elon Musk

Twitter

埃隆说得对。

未来十年将由谁掌控长尾市场来定义。

难点不在于让自动驾驶汽车“勉强能用”，而在于如何应对长尾市场和各种极端情况，直到系统在安全性方面显著优于人类。这需要数年时间。

理由

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