The latest price moves in bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets in context for Nov. 4, 2024. First Mover is CoinDesk’s daily newsletter that contextualizes the latest actions in the crypto markets.

<div><div><div><p><i><b>This article originally appeared in </b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>First Mover</b></i></a><i><b>, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter, putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. </b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day</b></i></a><i><b>.</b></i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>Latest Prices</h2></div></div><div><div><p>CoinDesk 20 Index: 2,008.80 +0.39%</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p>Bitcoin (BTC): $68,897.73 +0.86%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Ether (ETH): $2,473.42 +0.81%</p></div></div><div><div><p>S&amp;P 500: 5,728.80 +0.41%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Gold: $2,742.19 +0.38%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Nikkei 225: 38,053.67 -2.63%</p></div></div><div><div><h2>Top Stories</h2></div></div><div><div><p><b>Bitcoin and other major cryptos </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin/" rel="nofollow"><b>traded little changed</b></a><b> on the final day before the U.S. presidential election.</b> BTC edged back toward $69,000, around 0.8% higher in the last 24 hours. The broader digital asset market was more muted, rising less than 0.5%. From being a few dollars away from a new record last week, bitcoin pulled back to a low of $67,600 on Sunday, seemingly in tandem with a retreat in the more pro-crypto Donald Trump's chances of election victory. With only hours remaining before the first polls open in some eastern states, it seems traders are sitting on their hands until they have a clearer picture of where this one is headed.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>Perceived winning odds of Democrat </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/harris-and-trump-bets-near-even-odds-ahead-of-us-election-day-as-voter-fraud-rumors-swirl/" rel="nofollow"><b>Kamala Harris continue to rise on betting platform Polymarket</b></a><b>, with users buying and selling hundreds of thousands of favored shares in a bump for market activity.</b> Shares of Harris winning the election surged to 43 cents ahead of Tuesday’s vote, up from 33 cents on Oct. 30. Republican Donald Trump’s shares fell, dropping from 66 cents to 57 cents. Meanwhile, polling aggregator Real Clear Polling gives Trump a microscopic edge at 48.5%-48.4%. The increase in Harris' odds might be due to traders hedging their bets, according to a CoinDesk analysis, with a study of trades above $10,000 suggesting both large bets on Harris and strategic trading to protect against a Trump loss.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>Singapore's central bank said it will </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/singapore-pushes-for-commercialization-of-tokenization/" rel="nofollow"><b>introduce new measures to advance tokenization in financial services</b></a><b>.</b> The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) wishes to form commercial networks to deepen liquidity of tokenized assets, develop an ecosystem of market infrastructures, foster industry frameworks for tokenized asset implementation and enable access to common settlement facilities for tokenized assets. "We are encouraged by the keen participation from financial institutions and fellow policymakers to co-create industry standards and risk management frameworks to facilitate commercial deployment of tokenized capital markets products, and scale tokenized markets on an industry wide basis,” Leong Sing Chiong, deputy managing director for markets and development, said.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><h2>Chart of the Day</h2></div></div><div><div><figure><picture><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><img src="https://www.coindesk.com/resizer/XFz-dXzKBglhCCeHlheLyGAwZD8=/560x315/filters:quality(80):format(jpg)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/EDFG7BNZGNBJJBT6UDVSW4GMEY.png" alt="COD FMA, Nov. 4 2024 (MacroMicro)"></picture><figcaption><span>(MacroMicro)</span></figcaption></figure></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div>The chart shows yields on the U.S. 10-year note and the three-month bill, the spread between the two and the S&amp;P 500 since 1985.</div></li><li><div>The spread is fast de-inverting, just 20 basis points short of normalizing or turning positive.</div></li><li><div>Previous de-inversions were characterized by a renewed downtrend in the S&amp;P 500 and presaged U.S. recessions marked by vertical shaded portions.</div></li><li><div>The latest de-inversion, however, may not be bearish for stocks and other risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as it is accompanied by an acceleration in money supply, which tends to be a bullish signal for scarce digital assets like bitcoin, André Dragosch, Bitwise's director, head of research for Europe.</div></li><li><div>Source: MacroMicro</div></li></ul></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><i>- Omkar Godbole</i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>Trending Posts</h2></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/bitcoin-likely-to-rally-after-the-us-election-irrespective-of-who-wins-history-shows-van-straten/" rel="nofollow"><b>Bitcoin Likely to Rally After the U.S. Election, Irrespective of Who Wins, History Shows</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/citi-fidelity-exhibit-proof-of-concept-for-real-time-forex-swap-onchain/" rel="nofollow"><b>Citi, Fidelity Exhibit Proof-of-Concept for Real-Time Forex Swap Onchain</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2024/11/02/ethereum-researchers-relinquish-eigenlayer-roles-over-conflict-of-interest-concerns/" rel="nofollow"><b>Ethereum Researchers Relinquish EigenLayer Roles Over Conflict of Interest Concerns</b></a></div></li></ul></div></div><div><p>Edited by Sheldon Reback.</p></div></div>

First Mover Americas: BTC Little Changed as U.S. Election Enters Final Stretch

2024年11月4日比特幣(BTC)和加密貨幣市場的最新價格走勢。 <First Mover>是CoinDesk的每日新聞通訊,它為您提供加密貨幣市場最新動態的背景資訊。

<div><div><div><p><i><b>本文最初發表於</b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>First Mover</b></i></a><i><b>，CoinDesk的每日通訊,將加密貨幣市場的最新動態置於背景之中。</b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>訂閱以在您的收件箱中獲取每日更新</b></i></a><i><b>。</b></i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>最新價格</h2></div></div><div><div><p>CoinDesk 20指數: 2,008.80 +0.39%</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p>比特幣(BTC): $68,897.73 +0.86%</p></div></div><div><div><p>以太(ETH): $2,473.42 +0.81%</p></div></div><div><div><p>標普500: 5,728.80 +0.41%</p></div></div><div><div><p>黃金: $2,742.19 +0.38%</p></div></div><div><div><p>日經225: 38,053.67 -2.63%</p></div></div><div><div><h2>頭條新聞</h2></div></div><div><div><p><b>比特幣和其他主要加密貨幣</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin/" rel="nofollow"><b>在美國總統選舉前夕基本持平</b></a><b>。</b> BTC重新接近69,000美元,過去24小時上漲約0.8%。整個數字資產市場漲幅較小,不到0.5%。從上週接近創紀錄高位到現在,比特幣下跌至67,600美元的低點,似乎與親加密貨幣的唐納德·特朗普當選勝算下降有關。在東部某些州的首次投票開始前幾個小時,交易者似乎正在觀望,等待更清晰的局勢走向。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>民主黨人</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/harris-and-trump-bets-near-even-odds-ahead-of-us-election-day-as-voter-fraud-rumors-swirl/" rel="nofollow"><b>卡馬拉·哈里斯</b></a><b>在Polymarket投注平臺上獲勝的預期機率繼續上升,使用者購買和出售了數十萬股優先股,推動了市場活動。</b> 哈里斯獲勝的股票價格在週二投票前飆升至43美分,高於10月30日的33美分。共和黨人唐納德·特朗普的股票價格下跌,從66美分下降到57美分。與此同時,民調彙總網站Real Clear Polling給特朗普一個微弱的優勢,為48.5%-48.4%。哈里斯獲勝機率的上升可能是由於交易者對沖風險,根據CoinDesk的分析,對10,000美元以上的交易進行研究表明,既有對哈里斯的大額下注,也有為應對特朗普失利而進行的策略性交易。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>新加坡央行表示將</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/singapore-pushes-for-commercialization-of-tokenization/" rel="nofollow"><b>採取新措施推進金融服務領域的代幣化</b></a><b>。</b> 新加坡金融管理局(MAS)希望建立商業網路,以加深代幣化資產的流動性,發展代幣化資產市場基礎設施生態系統,制定代幣化資產實施的行業框架,併為代幣化資產提供共同結算設施。"我們很高興看到金融機構和其他政策制定者積極參與,共同創造行業標準和風險管理框架,以促進代幣化資本市場產品的商業部署,並在全行業範圍內擴大代幣化市場規模,"MAS市場和發展副總裁梁成昌說。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><h2>今日圖表</h2></div></div><div><div><figure><picture><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><img src="https://www.coindesk.com/resizer/XFz-dXzKBglhCCeHlheLyGAwZD8=/560x315/filters:quality(80):format(jpg)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/EDFG7BNZGNBJJBT6UDVSW4GMEY.png" alt="COD FMA, Nov. 4 2024 (MacroMicro)"></picture><figcaption><span>(MacroMicro)</span></figcaption></figure></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div>該圖顯示了自1985年以來美國10年期國債收益率、3個月票據收益率、兩者之間的利差以及標普500指數。</div></li><li><div>利差正在快速去倒掛,距離正常化或轉為正值僅差20個基點。</div></li><li><div>以往的去倒掛都伴隨著標普500指數的新一輪下跌趨勢,並預示著美國經濟衰退(用垂直陰影部分標示)。</div></li><li><div>但這次去倒掛可能不會對股票和其他風險資產(包括加密貨幣)產生看跌影響,因為它伴隨著貨幣供給的加速,這往往是比特幣等稀缺數字資產看多訊號,Bitwise的歐洲研究主管安德烈·德拉戈什表示。</div></li><li><div>資料來源:MacroMicro</div></li></ul></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><i>- Omkar Godbole</i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>熱門文章</h2></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/bitcoin-likely-to-rally-after-the-us-election-irrespective-of-who-wins-history-shows-van-straten/" rel="nofollow"><b>歷史表明,無論誰獲勝,比特幣在美國大選後都可能上漲</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/citi-fidelity-exhibit-proof-of-concept-for-real-time-forex-swap-onchain/" rel="nofollow"><b>花旗和富達展示了鏈上實時外匯掉期的概念驗證</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2024/11/02/ethereum-researchers-relinquish-eigenlayer-roles-over-conflict-of-interest-concerns/" rel="nofollow"><b>以太坊研究人員因利益衝突問題放棄了EigenLayer的角色</b></a></div></li></ul></div></div><div><p>編輯:Sheldon Reback。</p></div></div>

美洲先行者：美國大選進入最後階段， BTC變化不大

儘管價格波動性是無關緊要的,但最近期權市場的流動性表明存在<看多>預期。
<OP>必須翻譯為<OP>。
<AR>必須翻譯為<AR>。
<GNO>必須翻譯為<GNO>。

分析師：美國大選進入最後衝刺階段，比特幣價格或將震盪上行至 6,000-8,000 美元

投資者在加密和傳統市場押注,即將到來的美國總統選舉將導致價格波動。
'AR'必須翻譯為'AR'。
'Dent'必須翻譯為'Dent'。
'crypto'必須翻譯為'加密'。

美國大選前夕比特幣波動率躍升至三個月高位

加密市場正在為2024年可能是最動盪的一週做好準備。三個美國宏觀經濟資料事件在日程上,有可能對投資者的投資組合產生重大影響。
'CRO'必須翻譯為'CRO'。
'AR'必須翻譯為'AR'。
'加密'必須翻譯為'加密'。