Oracle provider RedStone has integrated event-driven market data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-regulated financial exchange and prediction market Kalshi across over 110 block...

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Oracle provider RedStone has integrated event-driven market data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-regulated financial exchange and prediction market Kalshi across over 110 blockchains, expanding access to real-world prediction data for decentralized applications (DApps).
<adv/>RedStone announced the partnership with Kalshi on Thursday, bringing its prediction market data to more than 110 networks, including Ethereum, Solana, Base, The Open Network and Sui. The integration allows DApps to access Kalshi’s data sets that cover events like elections, interest rate decisions and cultural moments like musician Taylor Swift’s live television appearances. 
<adv/>The CFTC regulates Kalshi as a designated contract market (DCM), which means markets listed on Kalshi must receive CFTC approval before trading. On Oct. 10, Kalshi raised $300 million to expand its prediction markets to over 140 countries. 
“The regulated nature of Kalshi’s events means we’re unlocking data categories that were previously unavailable onchain, opening entirely new possibilities for how DeFi will evolve,” RedStone co-founder Marcin Kazmierczak told Cointelegraph. 
The rollout begins with three initial categories: the New York City mayoral election, the 2028 Democratic Party nominee for US president and the number of interest rate cuts in 2025. More markets are expected to follow, but will depend on developer demand. 
<h2>RedStone co-founder shares expected use cases</h2>
Kazmierczak told Cointelegraph that the first phase of the integration is likely to see existing decentralized finance (DeFi) primitives. 
“We can expect utilization of well-known primitives such as derivatives, perpetual DEXs, and eventually lending markets leveraging tokenized Kalshi market positions with RedStone’s onchain data to ensure accurate liquidation mechanics and collateral pricing,” he told Cointelegraph.
Still, he said the most significant innovation may come later, as developers experiment with new concepts.
Kazmierczak told Cointelegraph that with time, the space may witness new ideas and design patterns such as insurance-like protocols and social finance engaging with the mass market. 
He told Cointelegraph that insurance may be one of the most promising applications for regulated prediction data.
In May, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization company Securitize selected RedStone as the primary oracle provider for its tokenized contracts, which include asset manager BlackRock's USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) and the Apollo Diversified Credit Securitize Fund (ACRED).
Related: MetaMask to let users bet on politics, sports via Polymarket
<h2>Prediction markets go mainstream</h2>
The new integration comes as prediction markets are gaining rapid mainstream recognition, with some saying their simplicity could make them the first DeFi tool to achieve mass adoption. 
On Friday, Azuro researcher Mike Rychko argued that prediction markets are entering the real world beyond crypto. He said the accessibility of such platforms is likely to result in them being the first DeFi product to achieve mass adoption. 
He said that while most people would not open derivatives exchanges, they are likely to be enticed by the clean and digestible signals that prediction markets provide.
“That simplicity is precisely why prediction markets will find mass adoption faster than most DeFi experiments ever did,” Rychko said. 
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From Taylor Swift to rate cuts, RedStone brings real-world bets onchain with Kalshi

Oracle 提供商 RedStone 已整合來自美國商品期貨交易委員會 (CFTC) 監管的金融交易所和預測市場 Kalshi 的事件驅動市場數據，涵蓋超過 110 個區塊......

<div><div>Oracle 提供商 RedStone 已整合來自美國商品期貨交易委員會 (CFTC) 監管的金融交易所和預測市場 Kalshi 的事件驅動市場數據，涵蓋 110 多個區塊鏈，擴大了去中心化應用程序 (DApps) 對現實世界預測數據的訪問。<adv/> RedStone 週四宣佈與 Kalshi 合作，將其預測市場數據帶給 110 多個網絡，包括以太坊、 Solana、Base、The Open Network 和Sui。此次整合使 DApp 能夠訪問 Kalshi 的數據集，這些數據集涵蓋選舉、利率決策以及音樂家泰勒·斯威夫特的電視直播等文化事件。<adv/> CFTC 將 Kalshi 監管為指定合約市場 (DCM)，這意味著在 Kalshi 上交易的市場必須獲得 CFTC 批准才能進行交易。10 月 10 日，Kalshi 融資 3 億美元，將其預測市場擴展到 140 多個國家。 RedStone 聯合創始人 Marcin Kazmierczak 告訴Cointelegraph：“Kalshi 活動的受監管性質意味著我們正在解鎖以前在鏈上無法獲得的數據類別，為 DeFi 的發展開闢了全新的可能性。”初始推出的三個類別是：紐約市市長選舉、2028 年美國總統民主黨候選人和 2025 年降息次數。預計將有更多市場跟進，但將取決於開發商的需求。<h2> RedStone 聯合創始人分享預期用例</h2>Kazmierczak 告訴Cointelegraph ，整合的第一階段可能會看到現有的去中心化金融 (DeFi) 原語。他告訴Cointelegraph：“我們可以預期利用衍生品、永久性 DEX 等眾所周知的原語，並最終利用代幣化的 Kalshi 市場地位和 RedStone 的鏈上數據來利用借貸市場，以確保準確的清算機制和抵押品定價。”不過，他表示，隨著開發人員對新概念的試驗，最重要的創新可能會在稍後出現。 Kazmierczak 告訴Cointelegraph ，隨著時間的推移，該領域可能會出現新的想法和設計模式，例如類似保險的協議和麵向大眾市場的社會金融。他告訴Cointelegraph ，保險可能是受監管預測數據最有前景的應用之一。 5 月，現實世界資產 (RWA) 代幣化公司 Securitize 選擇 RedStone 作為其代幣化合約的主要預言機提供商，其中包括資產管理公司貝萊德的美元機構數字流動性基金 (Buidl) 和阿波羅多元化信貸證券化基金 (ACRED)。相關： Metamask允許用戶通過 Polymarket 對政治、體育進行投注<h2>預測市場成為主流</h2>新的整合正值預測市場迅速獲得主流認可之際，一些人表示，預測市場的簡單性可能使其成為第一個實現大規模採用的 DeFi 工具。週五，Azuro 研究員 Mike Rychko 指出，預測市場正在超越加密貨幣，進入現實世界。他表示，此類平臺的可訪問性很可能使其成為首個實現大規模採用的 DeFi 產品。他說，雖然大多數人不會開設衍生品交易所，但他們可能會被預測市場提供的清晰易懂的信號所吸引。 Rychko 表示：“正是這種簡單性使得預測市場能夠比大多數 DeFi 實驗更快地實現大規模採用。”<iframe/>雜誌：重返以太坊： Synthetix、 Ronin和Celo如何看到曙光</div></div>

從泰勒·斯威夫特到降息，RedStone 與 Kalshi 合作，將現實世界的賭注帶到鏈上

美國勞工統計局（BLS） 1 月非農報告即將發佈，市場預計此次修正將抹去約 100 萬個就業崗位。
文章作者：趙穎
文章來源：華爾街見聞
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