If you can't handle -73.32% dumps
You don't deserve +5% pumps
$CRV

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如果你承受不了-73.32%的暴跌

那你不配擁有+5%的上漲

$CRV

比特幣上週價格一度觸及 6 萬美元。在收益遞減模型下，這絕不是簡單的噪音。市場正在觸碰整個四年週期與對數增長框架中最脆弱的環節。
當比特幣週期頂部的漲幅已被大幅壓縮，如果再出現歷史級別的深度回調，其經典週期的吸引力將徹底失效。
這不是預測，這是數學規律。
週期頂部漲幅正在壓縮
比特幣各週期歷史頂部：
· 2013 年：~1,242 美元
· 2017 年：~19,700 美元
· 2021 年：~...

5.5萬美元，將是比特幣的生死線

Citadel、Ark Invest 和 Tether 支持 LayerZero上線Zero區塊鏈——ZRO 價格劇烈波動。圖片來源：Decrypt。
今天清晨（2月11日），LayerZero官方宣布上線其名為…的全新Layer-1區塊鏈。

Citadel、Ark Invest 和 Tether 支持 LayerZero上線Zero區塊鏈——價格 Z...

加密市場今日下午出現急跌走勢，以太坊於台灣時間下午三點跌破 2,000 美元關口，在 Hyperliquid […]
〈麻吉大哥虧慘一夜沒睡？以太坊跌破2000鎂慌了， 開倉做多ETH、HYPE 割肉12萬鎂全輸光〉這篇文章最早發佈於動區BlockTempo《動區動趨-最具影響力的區塊鏈新聞媒體》。

麻吉大哥虧慘一夜沒睡？以太坊跌破2000鎂慌了， 開倉做多ETH、HYPE 割肉12萬鎂全輸光

We call that a "trade setup" and we call those who take them "traders". Below is literally how it is actionable, and I can almost guarantee @follis_ would agree, but I don't expect you to understand what any of this means.

我們稱之為“交易設置”，而那些採用這些設置的人被稱為“交易員”。下面是具體的操作步驟，我幾乎可以肯定@follis_會同意，但我並不指望你能完全理解這些內容。

Lol you could have said this about Bitcoin literally four times in its history, and every single time it was a generational buy opp. I don't think I need to convince you why this is a screaming buy on HTF.

哈哈，你完全可以對比特幣的歷史做出這樣的評價四次，而且每一次都是千載難逢的買入良機。我想我不需要向你解釋為什麼在高時間框架下這是一個絕佳的買進機會。

Why would it make me angry when literally every other alt chart looks like this right now lol.

為什麼其他所有替代圖表現在看起來都差不多是這樣，我會生氣呢，哈哈。

Personally I would rather buy strength than fade a multi-month downtrend
Even if it is on HTF support – plenty of alts on HTF support for the entire cycle
But maybe this time it's different
Either way I have no skin in this game, was just an observation
Hope it plays out for you brother 🤝

就我個人而言，我寧願買入強勢股，也不願逆勢而為，即使它處於高時間框架支撐位——畢竟，很多山寨幣在整個週期內都處於高時間框架支撐位。

但也許這次情況有所不同。

無論如何，我與此無關，這只是我的個人看法。

祝你好運，兄弟🤝

Yup nothing but respect for Cred
We have different opinions on this chart and that's totally fine
Tbh I see the asymmetry of betting on upside here at HTF support
Although I don't personally like knife catching multi-month downtrends like this, would rather wait for strength

是的，我對Cred只有敬意。

我們對這張圖表的看法不同，這完全沒問題。

說實話，我覺得在HTF支撐位押注上漲是不對稱的。

雖然我個人不喜歡在這種持續數月的下跌趨勢中抄底，我更傾向於等待反彈。

Exactly haha
Wasn't my intention to bait anyone
This was actually a chart request from my stream earlier
90% of altcoins look exactly like this

哈哈，沒錯

我沒想釣魚。

這其實是我之前直播時有人要求做的圖表。

90% 的山寨幣看起來都差不多。

Sure but this "multi month downtrend" is still within the context of a massive HTF range, which we deviated below, pumped 7x off of, and are now retesting the base/expansion zone of for a potential higher low before expansion. There are not a lot of alts that have this context (nor the fundamentals that support CRV either). Our approach is clearly different..

當然，但這種「持續數月的下跌趨勢」仍然處於一個巨大的高時間框架區間內，我們曾經跌破該區間，隨後價格上漲了7倍，現在正在重新測試底部/擴張區域，以期在擴張前形成更高的低點。很少有其他山寨幣具備這樣的背景（也沒有多少基本面支撐CRV ）。我們的策略顯然不同。

I think log chart doing a bit of heavy lifting there
The picture on the regular chart obviously not quite the same
I see your logic and understand your read
I just don't fully agree with it

我認為對數圖在這裡發揮了很大的作用。

常規圖表上的情況顯然不太一樣。

我理解你的邏輯和解讀。

但我並不完全同意。

Well there is a reason we usually look at HTF charts on log scale :) Even Bitcoin looked like this at its macro bottoms when not on log :) In any case, time will tell 🤝

我們通常用對數座標看高時間框架圖表是有原因的 :) 即使是比特幣，在宏觀底部時，如果不是用對數座標看，看起來也是這樣 :) 總之，時間會證明一切 🤝