$SPX $SPY
Indices remained fairly resilient on the backdrop of a negative delta outcome with the fed chair nomination. There really is no argument that Warsh is net-net the most hawkish of the lot…
Equity resilience on Friday was partially driven by month end flows, and there was the NVDA-OAI investment drama surfacing over the weekend; I don’t think Iran developments were market moving.
This will make for an interesting futures open and more importantly Monday close in the context of the first two points, as well as further time for the market to digest Warsh…
Overall, not great, especially considering how crypto has traded over the weekend. However, I do wonder if 2025 is offering us the playbook for how to trade this February given we’re all getting fairly bear’d up here…
Monday, the first trading day of Feb 2025 opened with a large gap down and an aggressive wick overnight, only to the close the day down 70 bps. From there, indices grinded up for two weeks into Feb OPEX, topping on the day of VIX Expiry.
You know what then ensued…

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We are *finally* entering the “last gasp” stage of this broader equity rally.
As the quoted tweet describes, both HTF tops (‘22 and ‘25) saw large caps and small caps diverge before everything rolls over and price discovery to the downside is permitted.
Every  x.com/Wild_Randomnes…

Mandelbrot

Twitter

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儘管聯準會主席提名結果為負值，但指數依然保持了相當強的韌性。毫無疑問，沃什是所有候選人中最鷹派的…

週五股市的韌性部分得益於月末資金流入，週末英偉達(NVDA)與OAI的投資糾紛也引發了市場關注；我認為伊朗局勢的發展並未對市場產生重大影響。

鑑於前兩點，以及市場需要更多時間來消化沃什的言論，這將使期貨市場開盤以及週一收盤更加引人注目…

總體而言，情況並不樂觀，尤其考慮到加密貨幣在周末的交易表現。不過，鑑於我們現在都相當悲觀，我不禁想知道2025年是否在為我們提供二月份的交易策略…

2025年2月的第一個交易日，星期一，市場大幅低開，隔夜走勢強勁，最終收跌70個基點。此後，指數在2月選擇權到期日前的兩週內緩慢上漲，並在VIX指數到期日達到高峰。

接下來發生的事大家都知道了…

貝萊德亞太區iShares主管尼古拉斯·皮奇表示，即使在亞洲，對加密貨幣進行適度的投資組合配置也可能推動大量資金流入市場。

他在Consensus大會的一個小組討論會上發表了上述言論……

貝萊德高管表示，亞洲地區1%的加密貨幣配置可釋放2萬億美元的新資金流入。

Berachain 的原生代幣 $BERA 在 2 月 11 日飆升超過 150%，創下數月以來單日最大漲幅。此前，該項目在 2025 年的大部分時間裡都處於低迷狀態，而此次上漲行情是在幾周的復甦之後出現的。

戰略轉型提振 BERA，Berachain 飆升 150%。

貝萊德與Uniswap合作，將代幣化債券基金引入DeFi領域，推動UNI價格飆升。圖片來源：Diaro
貝萊德持續擴展其在去中心化金融（DeFi）領域的佈局，此舉為……鋪平了道路。