After the Spot Ethereum ETF is approved, can ETH rise to $4,000?

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Author: Nancy Lubale, CoinTelegraph; Translated by: Tao Zhu, Jinse Finance

Traders continued to push Ethereum prices towards $4,000 on May 27, with the Altcoin up 3.5% on the day.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView show that Ethereum has performed strongly, rising 27% from a low of $3,048 on May 20 and reaching a 10-week high of $3,964 on May 27.

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ETH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Ethereum’s performance over the past seven days has been largely driven by expectations that a spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) will be approved in the U.S. While ETH’s performance has been lackluster following the approval, the move toward $4,000 is seen as significant.

Cryptocurrency analyst Jelle said Ethereum has completed a long period of accumulation and with the approval of the spot Ethereum ETF, the price is ready to enter a "rally."

Jelle explained in a May 27 X post that although it “took much longer than expected,” market participants are “finally seeing a bull run for Ethereum again.”

Michaël van de Poppe, analyst and founder of MN Capital, made a similar observation using the ETH/BTC weekly chart. Van de Poppe said that the weekly relative strength index (RSI) showed a bullish divergence, which means that capital is starting to move from Bitcoin to Altcoin after a long crypto winter.

“There’s a good chance Ethereum’s 2.5-year bear market is finally coming to an end.”

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ETH/BTC weekly chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe

“#ETH confirms bullish divergence and downtrend breakout,” cryptocurrency trader Matthew Hyland declared in a May 27 X post. He added that an increase in volume would “further validate the breakout.”

Analyst Tuur Demeester believes that the optimism in the Ethereum market has yet to be realized. In a May 25 post on X, Demeester shared the following chart: The ETH/BTC trading pair "needs to break above 0.06 to turn bullish."

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ETH/BTC weekly chart. Source: Tuur Demeester

Notably, at the time of publishing, the ETH/BTC pair was trading at 0.056, with the 50-week simple moving average (SMA) providing immediate support.

The price needs to hold this support level to increase the chances of turning the long-term downtrend line (blue) into support. If this happens, ETH/BTC will rise and face resistance at the 0.06 level contained by the 200-week SMA.

The chart below shows that a break above this level does not mean the pair is out of the woods. It still needs to flip the 100-week moving average at 0.063 to confirm a breakout.

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ETH/BTC weekly chart. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, data from on-chain metrics provider CryptoQuant shows that ETH balances on exchanges have been declining over the past 12 months, reaching a six-year low of 13.58 million ETH on May 20.

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ETH balances on exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

The decrease in Ethereum balances on exchanges signals that traders are adopting a long-term investment strategy, indicating growing confidence in Ethereum’s long-term potential and value.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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